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CC SR 20250603 05 - FY 2025-26 Financial Model CITY COUNCIL MEETING DATE: 06/03/2025 AGENDA REPORT AGENDA HEADING: Regular Business AGENDA TITLE: Consideration to receive the Fiscal Year 2025-26 Financial Model RECOMMENDED COUNCIL ACTION: (1) Receive and file the Fiscal Year 2025-26 Financial Model for the General Fund and all other Special Funds. FISCAL IMPACT: None Amount Budgeted: N/A Additional Appropriation: N/A Account Number(s): N/A ORIGINATED BY: Robert Moya, Deputy Director of Finance RM REVIEWED BY: Vina Ramos, Director of Finance VR APPROVED BY: Ara Mihranian, AICP, City Manager ATTACHED SUPPORTING DOCUMENTS: A. Draft 10-Year General Fund Model (page A-1) B. Draft 5-Year All Special Funds Model (page B-1) BACKGROUND: The 10-Year Financial Model is administered by the City’s Finance Department and reviewed during the annual budget cycle in accordance with City Council Policy No. 18. Each iteration of the model integrates historic and current year data with the latest economic assumptions to produce a long-term forecast of revenues, expenditures, and fund balances. In addition to establishing a baseline forecast, the model is relied upon to support deliberations among decision makers and to validate the fiscal impact of various programmatic or financial alternatives under consideration. Since implementation, the model has become increasingly beneficial to the budget process due to its various enhancements over time. In Fiscal Year (FY) 2021-22, the original Five-Year Financial Model was expanded to 10 years and renamed accordingly at the request of then-City Councilmember Eric Alegria. A post-pandemic economy prompted the addition of a sensitivity analysis during the same span of time. Any improvements or analyses requested by the City Council are integrated into the model each year and presented for review during the June budget meetings. 1 FY 2025-26 Model Format In its latest iteration, the FY 2025-26 Financial Model (Model) uses the inputs and assumptions developed during the annual budget cycle. The Model primarily focuses on the General Fund, illustrates the City’s long-term financial position, and supports the development of a structurally balanced operating budget. Special Revenue Funds and budgetary figures from the Five-Year Capital Improvement Program are also included to provide a complete picture of the City’s long-term financial outlook. The baseline revenue and expenditure forecasts are established using the FY 2025-26 Preliminary Budget. Additional data within the model includes: ► Historic actuals and year-end fund balances for all City funds ► Key assumptions and various economic input factors ► FY 2024-25 year-end estimates and projected fund balances as of June 30, 2025 ► A 10-year overview from FY 2024-25 to FY 2033-34 Major funds included in the Model are separated as follows: ► General Fund – The General Fund balance is separated by the 50% reserve policy and the unrestricted balance. ► Funds restricted by City Council action – The balances of the Capital Infrastructure Program Fund (CIP), Employee Pension Service Fund, and Equipment Replacement Fund are restricted by City Council action for a specific purpose. The funds were initiated with transfers from the General Fund and may be transferred back to General Fund or used for other purposes upon City Council action. ► Funds restricted by law or external agencies – The balances of these funds are restricted by law or external agencies, such as the federal government, State of California, or Los Angeles County. This funding can only be used for the purpose outlined by the terms and conditions set by legislation and voter ballot measures. Lastly, the Model is organized and presented using the following reports: ► Draft 10-Year General Fund Model ► Draft 5-Year All Special Funds Model In addition to the attached reports, an overview of the development process and analysis of the 10-year forecast is detailed in the discussion section below. DISCUSSION: Model Development Process At the start of the budget season, Finance Staff updated the Model to prepare for the General Fund Budget Workshop. Mid-year revenues and expenditures were added to analyze actual performance against the revised budget. Staff also reviewed historical data 2 alongside industry trends and economic indicators to produce the General Fund budget assumptions, FY 2024-25 year-end estimates, and the FY 2025-26 Proposed Budget. For the preliminary budget meeting, actuals through March and the latest City Council- approved changes to the FY 2024-25 estimates and FY 2025-26 budget have been incorporated. Recent updates also included the 5-year Capital Improvement Program. This process resulted in the FY 2025-26 Preliminary Budget, forming the Model’s baseline forecast and long-term outlook for all City funds in advance of budget adoption. Budget Assumptions The assumptions listed in Table 1 highlight the long-term growth rates used to develop the baseline forecast from FY 2025-26 through FY 2033-34. Staff reviews and updates these rates annually based on historic data, current trends, and economic activity related to the City’s major revenue and expenditure categories. Any significant changes to the assumptions, if material, are discussed in greater detail in the sections below. Table 1. Economic Model Input Factors General Fund Revenue Assumptions Property Tax Property tax remains the primary and most stable source of revenue in the General Fund. The FY 2025-26 proposed budget anticipates total property tax revenue of approximately $18.2 million, reflecting a $580,000 (3.3%) increase over the FY 2024 -25 year-end estimate of $17.6 million. This growth is driven by a combination of factors, including the 2.0% inflation adjustment under the California Consumer Price Index, ongoing property sales and transfers adding $310 million in reassessed value, and continued re sidential construction and improvements. The estimate incorporates Citywide trends and localized impacts, including potential exposure to Proposition 8 reductions and the FEMA/CalOES - funded voluntary property buyout program within the Portuguese Bend Lands lide Complex. While higher mortgage rates have slowed transaction volumes, the City’s strong housing market and regional demand, amplified by displacement from recent 2025E 2026B 2027F 2028F 2029F 2030F 2031F 2032F 2033F 2034F REVENUES PROPERTY TAX 4.0% 4.0% 4.0% 4.0% 4.0% 4.0% 4.0% 4.0% TRANSIENT OCCUPACY TAXES 4.0% 4.3% 4.2% 4.2% 4.1% 4.1% 4.0% 4.0% SALES TAX 2.5% 3.0% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 2.3% 2.3% 2.0% FRANCHISE TAX 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% UTILITY USERS TAX 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% PERMIT REVENUES 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% INVESTMENT INTEREST 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% EXPENDITURES NON-PERSONNEL EXPENDITURES 4.5% 4.4% 4.3% 4.0% 4.0% 4.0% 4.0% 4.0% PERSONNEL EXPENDITURES 4.5% 4.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% HEALTH INSURANCE 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% PERS NORMAL COSTS 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% SHERIFF CONTRACT 4.0% 4.0% 4.0% 4.0% 4.0% 4.0% 4.0% 4.0% FORCAST ASSUMPTIONS - 2025 FINANCIAL MODEL FY 2024-25 YE EST. AND FY 2025-26 BUDGET PREPARED OUTSIDE OF THE MODEL 3 wildfires, support stable assessments. Based on current projections, Rancho Palos Verdes is expected to see a 3.5% increase in overall assessed valuation in FY 2025 -26. For purposes of long-range financial forecasting, property tax revenues are assumed to grow at an average annual rate of 4.0%, aligning with the City’s long-term revenue trends observed over both the past decade and the more recent five-year period. Transient Occupancy Tax (TOT) TOT remains the second-largest revenue source in the General Fund, with 98% of collections generated by Terranea Resort. The FY 2025-26 proposed budget projects TOT revenue at $7.0 million, a $300,000 (3.7%) increase over the FY 2024 -25 year-end estimate of $6.7 million. This increase is based on Terranea’s projected room revenue of $72.5 million for calendar year 2025, with a conservative downward adjustment of approximately 4% to account for broader economic uncertainties and evolving travel trends. While recent landslide activity near the Portuguese Bend area raised concerns, there has been no material impact on resort operations, occupancy rates, or collections. As tourism in Los Angeles County nears pre-pandemic levels, Rancho Palos Verdes remains a strong coastal destination, supporting steady TOT performance. Looking ahead, TOT revenue is projected to grow by 4% in 2027, with a temporary increase to 5% in 2028 in anticipation of heightened tourism activity surrounding the 2028 Olympic Games. After that, the growth rate gradually tapers, settling at 4.3 % by 2034. This tapering reflects a conservative long-term forecast that balances recent performance with broader economic uncertainty, potential shifts in travel behavior, and the City's position within a competitive regional hospitality market. While current trends remain strong, this approach helps ensure the City plans responsibly for the future. Sales Tax Sales and Use Tax revenues are projected at $2.85 million for FY 2025 -26, reflecting a slight decrease of $14,200 (0.5%) from the FY 2024 -25 year-end estimate of $2.87 million. This conservative forecast is based on local sales trends and analysis from the City’s sales tax consultant, HdL. While the City’s taxable sales base remains relatively stable, broader economic factors, including elevated interest rates, reduced discretionary spending, and softening in key sectors like fuel, building materials, and d urable goods, are expected to temper growth. Rancho Palos Verdes’ largely residential character and limited commercial presence continue to constrain sales tax revenue when compared to neighboring jurisdictions. Although Measure A, approved by Los Angeles County voters in November 2024, increased the countywide sales tax rate, the proceeds are allocated to the County and do not generate additional revenue for the City. For long-term financial planning, sales tax revenue is forecasted to remain flat at 2.5 % annual growth, with a temporary increase to 3% in 2028 in anticipation of heightened consumer spending and regional activity tied to the Olympic Games. This cautious outlook provides room for adjustments based on future market trends and statewide policy shifts, which staff will continue to monitor closely. 4 Permits and Fees Permits and Fees revenues are projected to reach approximately $4.3 million in FY 2025 - 26, representing an increase of $194,000 (4.7%) over the FY 2024-25 year-end estimate. This growth is primarily driven by sustained demand for building and safety permit s, plan check services, and business licenses, reflecting a healthy pace of development and compliance activity throughout the City. While revenues from categories such as animal licenses and temporary permits remain relatively flat, the overall outlook si gnals a stable environment. On April 17, 2025, during the Budget Workshop, the City Council approved a Consumer Price Index (CPI) adjustment to the Master Fee Schedule, contributing approximately $130,000 to the projected increase. The City Council is also scheduled to consider the annual Master Fee Schedule at tonight’s meeting as a separate agenda item, including whether to adopt an additional CPI adjustment for the upcoming fiscal year. Any changes will be incorporated into the FY 2025 -26 budget as appropriate. For long-term financial planning purposes, Permits and Fees revenues are assumed to grow at an average annual rate of 3%, reflecting historical development activity and aligning with past revenue performance trends. Franchise Tax Franchise Tax revenues are projected to remain flat at $2.4 million for FY 2025 -26, consistent with the FY 2024-25 year-end estimate and reflecting a slight decline from FY 2023-24 actuals. These revenues are generated from payments made by franchisees such as EDCO, Southern California Edison, Cox Communications, and Southern California Gas Company for the use of the City’s public rights-of-way. Estimates are based on historical trends, current industry performance, and existing franchise agreements. Staff continues to m onitor regional utility activity and regulatory developments that could affect future revenues. In alignment with the best regional practices, the City is also reviewing its franchise agreements to ensure they reflect infrastructure usage, evolving service demands, and long-term fiscal sustainability. For forecasting purposes, Franchise Tax revenues are assumed to grow at an average annual rate of 1.5% over the long term, based on historical performance and anticipated adjustments to service agreements and utility infrastructure demand. Utility Users Tax (UUT) UUT revenues are projected at $2.5 million for FY 2025-26, reflecting a modest increase of $17,200 (0.7%) over the FY 2024-25 year-end estimate, though still below FY 2023-24 actuals due to continued declines in utility consumption. Revenues are influenced by factors such as weather patterns, energy market volatility, and consumption trends across electricity, gas, and water services. The FY 2025-26 projection accounts for known service disruptions caused by the ongoing landslide activity in the Portuguese Bend Community Association, Portuguese Bend Beach Club, and Seaview neighborhoods, where utility shutdowns have impacted approximately 245 homes and over 130 gas service connections. These interruptions are estimated to reduce UUT collections by roughly $100,000. Despite these impacts, the City Council approve d maintaining the 5 current 3% UUT rate for FY 2025-26 at the April 17, 2025, Budget Workshop. In accordance with RPV Municipal Code Section 3.30.190, the City Manager will continue to submit annual analyses to determine if rate adjustments are necessary based on City needs. For long-term planning purposes, UUT revenues are projected to grow at an average annual rate of 2%, consistent with historical trends and supported by expected stabilization in utility usage and rate structures over time. Staff will continue to monitor energy consumption patterns and evolving conditions in impacted areas to update revenue forecasts as new information becomes available. Investment Interest Interest earnings continue to perform strongly for the General Fund, supported by sustained higher interest rates and prudent investment practices. The FY 2024 -25 year- end estimate stands at approximately $1.4 million, reflecting favorable returns on the City’s investment portfolio. In accordance with the City’s annual investment policy, available cash is invested with a focus on safety, liquidity, and yield. While recent performance has exceeded expectations, projections for future years remain conservative, assuming a 2% growth rate over the long term to account for potential market fluctuations and changing economic conditions. In summary, General Fund operating revenues, including transfers, are projected to reach $41.8 million FY 2025-26. Revenue assumptions for future years will continue to be monitored and adjusted based on the annual analysis of financial indicators. General Fund Expenditures Non-Personnel Expenditures Non-personnel expenditures are budgeted at approximately $12.8 million for FY 2025- 26. This category includes costs for public safety contracts, legal services, consulting, maintenance, utilities, and other operational needs. The long -term forecast shows a tapering trend in the growth rate, starting at 4.5% in FY 2026 and gradually declining to 4.0 percent by FY 2029. This reflects a conservative approach based on expectations that spending will stabilize as temporary cost drivers ease. The higher growth rate in FY 2026 accounts for lingering operational demands and t he continued use of outside professional services. As City staffing levels return to normal, reliance on external consultants is expected to decrease. This shift supports the lower projected growth in later years and helps bring expenditures more in line w ith historical spending patterns. Over the past five years, non-personnel costs have grown by an average of 12.1% per year. Most of this increase was tied to higher professional and technical service costs during periods of key vacancies. With those positi ons now filled and one-time pressures behind us, future spending in this category is expected to follow a steadier and more manageable pace. 6 Personnel Expenditures Personnel costs are estimated at approximately $13.8 million in FY 2025-26, representing 37% of the proposed General Fund operating budget before transfers out. This marks an increase of $0.6 million (4.2%) from the FY 2024-25 revised budget. The estimate includes salaries and benefits for full-time and part-time staff, interns, and stipends for City Council and Planning Commissioners. While one more labor agreement is still under negotiation, the FY 2025-26 budget assumes the continuation of existing contract terms. For long-range forecasting, personnel expenditures are projected to grow by 4.5 % in FY 2027 and 4.0% in FY 2028. These higher growth rates account for anticipated increases tied to new labor agreements with employee groups. Beginning in FY 2029, personnel cost growth is assumed to return to a more typical 3% annual increase, reflecting a conservative outlook based on cost-of-living adjustments and historical compensation trends. This approach provides flexibility to adjust for future labor negotiations while maintaining fiscal stability in the long term. Health Insurance Health insurance costs are based on the City’s annual premiums for medical, dental, and vision coverage. These costs are tracked separately in the forecast model to better assess long-term benefit obligations. The forecast assumes a 1.5% annual growth rate, which reflects historical trends and helps ensure more accurate long-range projections. CalPERS Normal Cost The California Public Employees' Retirement System (CalPERS) sets the employer normal cost contribution rates for all participating employers. This category is calculated based on current staffing levels and the estimated payroll to account for future bene fits. The Model incorporates the data below to account for the normal costs based on the latest pension valuation, which provides the estimated contribution for FY 2025-26. The remaining years are forecasted at 2.5%, which aligns with previous expenditure growth and the payroll assumption rate used by CalPERS. Table 2. Model Data - Projected Future Employer Contributions (in dollars) Normal Cost Rate - All Plans 2024-25 2025-26 2026-27 2027-28 2028-29 695,745 724,060 742,162 760,716 779,733 2029-30 2030-31 2031-32 2032-33 2033-34 799,227 819,207 839,688 860,680 882,197 Unfunded Accrued Liability In addition to the employer’s normal cost contributions, the City of Rancho Palos Verdes is required to make annual payments toward its Unfunded Accrued Liability (UAL). These payments are determined by CalPERS’ amortization schedule and represent the City’s obligation to pay down the unfunded portion of pension liabilities accumulated over prior years. 7 As of June 30, 2022, the City’s total UAL balance across all tiers (Tier 1, Tier 2, and PEPRA/Tier 3) was $16.7 million, which reflects a 66% increase from the $10 million reported the previous year. The significant increase is due to a combination of fact ors, including lower-than-expected investment returns and updated actuarial assumptions. CalPERS provides a projected UAL payment schedule based on a long -term expected investment return of 6.8%. These projections assume no additional discretionary payments are made and are shown below in Table 3. Table 3. CalPERS Projected UAL Payments (Assumes 6.8% Return) Benefit Plan FY 2025-26 Required FY 2026-27 Projected FY 2027-28 Projected FY 2028-29 Projected FY 2029-30 Projected Tier 1 $1,448,658 $1,546,000 $1,626,000 $1,797,000 $1,839,000 Tier 2 $30,952 $41,000 $51,000 $61,000 $62,000 Tier 3 $31,007 $41,000 $52,000 $62,000 $63,000 Total $1,510,617 $1,628,000 $1,729,000 $1,920,000 $1,964,000 To provide a forecast aligned with official CalPERS projections, the City has updated its pension model to reflect the latest available actuarial valuations based on a 6.8% discount rate. These projections are derived from June 30, 2023 CalPERS reports for all three of the City's miscellaneous pension tiers and incorporate CalPERS’ standard amortization policies. Unlike prior models, this version does not adjust the UAL payment forecast downward to reflect the temporary investment underperformance from 2023. It is also worth noting that CalPERS reported a 9.3% preliminary net investment return for FY 2023-24, which exceeds the long-term assumed rate of 6.8%. If this return is finalized and sustained, it may contribute to improved funded status and slower growth in UAL payments in future valuation cycles. Table 4 below summarizes the anticipated UAL payments from FY 2024 -25 through FY 2033-34 based on current actuarial data and assumptions. Table 4. Model Data - Projected UAL Payments UAL Payments - All Plans 2024-25 2025-26 2026-27 2027-28 2028-29 $1,430,761 $1,510,617 $1,628,000 $1,729,000 $1,920,000 2029-30 2030-31 2031-32 2032-33 2033-34 $1,964,000 $2,001,000 $2,028,000 $2,016,000 $1,960,000 Lastly, it is worth noting that the previous assumption table in this report included projected UAL payments. However, due to the City’s $900,000 cap on General Fund contributions toward UAL, the year-over-year rate of increase was previously displayed as 0%. For greater accuracy, this cap has been removed from the updated model, and staff will continue to review how best to illustrate future UAL payment assumptions in upcoming reports. 8 Los Angeles County Sheriff’s Contract The City’s contract with the Los Angeles County Sheriff’s Department (LASD) is budgeted at approximately $8.6 million for FY 2025 -26. This accounts for roughly 23% of the General Fund operating budget assumptions before transfers and supports the continuation of the City’s current level of public safety services. The increase reflects the finalized FY 2025-26 law enforcement cost model released by the Auditor -Controller, which includes a 4.37% rate increase for a Deputy Sheriff Service Unit, 6.63% for a Bonus-I Deputy, and 6.11% for a Sergeant. The model also includes costs related to the department’s body-worn camera program. Additionally, the liability surcharge increased from 12.5% to 13.0% following the latest actuarial review. Per the City’s five-year joint agreement approved in June 2024, Rancho Palos Verdes is responsible for 68% of the total contract, with 28% allocated to Rolling Hills Estates and 4% to Rolling Hills. The long-term financial model assumes an average annual growth rate of 4% for LASD contract costs, consistent with historical trends and cost drivers such as labor negotiations and liability rates. Since FY 2017-18, the City has used actual TOT revenue net of LASD cost increases to guide General Fund transfers to the Capital Improvement Program (CIP) Fund. While no formal action was taken in FY 2024-25, the Finance Advisory Committee (FAC) continues to monitor the long-term feasibility of using TOT revenue to offset rising public safety costs. In summary, FY 2025-26 General Fund operating expeditures, including transfers, are projected to reach $41.8 million. As is the case with revenues, Staff will continue to monitor trends and report any material updates if warranted. 10-Year Financial Forecast General Fund The following chart presents the 10-year outlook illustrating differences with transfers in and out of the General Fund. As illustrated in Chart 1 on the next page, the General Fund continues to have a structurally balanced budget with estimated operating revenues exceeding expenditures through FY 2033-34, excluding transfers. CONTINUED ON THE NEXT PAGE 9 Chart 1. General Fund 10-Year Forecast (Excluding Transfers) The City’s operating fund balance is reduced by transfers to various other funds. The largest transfer is TOT revenue from Terranea to the CIP, followed by additional transfers to subsidize funds without regular revenue sources. Transfers Out from the General Fund help to cover annual maintenance charges, maintain endowment requirements, and support operations and are included in the Model as summarized in Table 5. As part of the FY 2025-26 budget, an additional $546,650 was allocated to the CIP in accordance with City Council direction during the April 17 budget workshop. This amount reflects the difference between projected General Fund revenues and expenditures presented at that time. Table 5. FY 2025-26 General Fund Transfers Out FY 2024-25 Year-End Estimate FY 2025-26 Preliminary Budget TRANSFER - CIP $12,320,650 $ 4,413,650 TRANSFER - HABITAT RESTORATION 150,000 170,000 TRANSFER - SUBREGION 1 MAINT 60,000 40,000 TRANSFER - ABALONE COVE SEWER 70,000 20,000 TRANSFER - IA PORTUGUESE BEND 15,000 -- *TRANSFER - EMPLOYEE PENSION 400,000 -- Total Transfers Out $13,015,650 $4,643,650 *FY 2024-25 includes transfers approved in prior year Additional Transfers from Unallocated Fund Balance Moreover, in accordance with the City Council Reserve Policy No. 41, the City may transfer all or a percentage of the prior year’s unrestricted excess reserve from General Fund. The City Council approved Staff’s recommendation to transfer $889,500 to the CIP 10 Fund for the Ladera Linda Community Center loan payment and $400,000 to the Employee Pension Service Fund (EPSF) at the budget workshop. However, since the approved transfers are funded from the prior year’s unallocated fund balance, these amounts are not included in the preliminary totals for FY 2025-26. The additional transfers will be incorporated into an updated version of the model following adoption of the FY 2025-26 budget. Under current assumptions, Chart 2 illustrates that baseline revenues can support baseline expenditures after including the estimated transfers-out through FY 2033-34. However, this gap is minimal, and it’s important to note that expenditures continue to increase faster than revenues. Between fiscal years 2016 and 2024, operating revenues and expenditures have grown at an average annual rate of 4% and 5.5%, respectively and excluding transfers. As such, the model can be utilized to assess the fiscal impact of additional programmatic changes. Chart 2. General Fund 10-Year Forecast (Including Transfers) Based on the Model, the estimated General Fund balance as of June 30, 2025, based on the latest updates to revenues, expenditures, and transfers, is approximately $28.7 million. A 10-year overview of the General Fund Balance from the Model is provided in Chart 3. According to the long-term outlook under current assumptions, the total fund balance is conservatively forecasted to grow year-over-year by an average rate of about 1%, ending FY 2033-34 at approximately $39.0 million. While the restricted portion of the 11 fund balance is projected to steadily increase, the unrestricted portion is expected to gradually decline before steadily increasing later in the outlook period. Chart 3. 2025 Model – General Fund Balance Forecast General Fund Sensitivity Analysis Following direction from the City Council, staff continue to use the Financial Model as a tool to evaluate hypothetical scenarios that may impact the long -term financial condition of the City. The sensitivity analysis helps inform the Council of potential risks and outcomes should key economic variables change significantly. The scenario below is for illustrative purposes only and does not reflect the City’s current forecast. As recommended by the Finance Advisory Committee, the FY 2025 Model incorporates a sensitivity analysis applying a -5% reduction in General Fund revenue and a +5% increase in expenditures to simulate the potential impact of deteriorating baseline conditions. This stress test assumes the City experiences slower-than-anticipated revenue growth coupled with accelerated operating costs due to inflation, labor demands, or new service needs. As shown in Chart 5 on the following page, the results of this analysis highlight a structural imbalance over the 10-year forecast period. Under this scenario, General Fund expenditures are projected to reach approximately $56.7 million by FY 2033-34 compared to the baseline forecast of $54.0 million. Meanwhile, revenues would only reach $51.9 million by FY 2033-34, falling short of the baseline projection of $54.7 million. On average, expenditures outpaced revenues by approximately $4 million per year, with the gap widening over time. CONTINUED ON NEXT PAGE 12 Chart 5: Sensitivity Analysis: -5% Revenue / +5% Expenditure This scenario reinforces the importance of long-term fiscal discipline and the risks associated with adding fixed costs without a dedicated revenue source. While hypothetical, this analysis underscores the need for prudent decision-making and ongoing monitoring of economic trends when considering service expansions or staffing increases. Capital Infrastructure Program (CIP) Fund The FY 2025-26 Preliminary Budget for all expenditures in the CIP Fund totals $17.5 million. This total includes $16.4 million in capital project costs, approximately $0.2 million in personnel costs, about $0.9 million in loan payment. The forecast model for the CIP and Special Revenue Funds is based on the City’s Five -Year CIP rather than a 10-year projection, aligning with the five-year capital plan reviewed by the Infrastructure Management Advisory Committee (IMAC), Planning Commission, and City Council to ensure consistency across planning and oversight efforts. The Model also provides a long-term forecast of revenues and expenditures for the CIP Fund. This review highlights the status of the fund and the long -term implications on the Fund Balance based on current assumptions. Table 6 on the following page shows projected revenues alongside estimated expenditures. As seen in the table, expenditures significantly outpace revenues through FY 20 25-26, after which the trend reverses and expenditures remain below revenues through FY 2029-30. CONTINUED ON NEXT PAGE 13 Table 6. CIP Revenue and Expenditure Forecast The table above, as well as Chart 6 below, outlines projected revenues, expenditures, and fund balances from FY 2024-25 through FY 2029-30. The beginning fund balance in FY 2024-25 is $29.6 million, with estimated revenues totaling $15.7 million, driven by TOT transfers, interest earnings, and one-time funds including $6.4 million for landslide response and $1.2 million from the prior year’s unallocated balance. Expenditures in FY 2024-25 are estimated at $29.1 million due to major capital projects and loan disbursements, then decline significantly over the forecast period. Revenues also taper off to approximately $6.5 million by FY 2029-30 as grant funding and one-time transfers phase out. Despite early high spending, the projected ending fund balance gradually recovers, with the restricted balance increasing from $0.8 million in FY 2026-27 to $6.5 million by FY 2029-30. CIP Fund FY 2025 YE Estimates FY 2026 FY 2027 FY 2028 FY 2029 FY 2030 Beginning Fund Balance 29,592,500 16,216,650 7,206,200 5,758,600 7,992,640 10,313,440 Revenues Interest Earnings 1,200,000 250,000 200,000 190,000 195,700 201,600 Grants - LA County Supervisor Hahn 2,200,000 570,000 - - - - Grants - LA County Flood Control - 2,000,000 - - - - Loan Payments from Districts - 342,900 342,900 342,900 342,900 342,900 Transfers-In: General Fund (Annual TOT minus public safety cumulative increases) 3,852,500 3,867,000 4,003,600 3,959,440 3,863,900 3,852,800 Transfers-In: General Fund (Additional - Ladera Loan)889,500 889,500 889,500 889,500 889,500 889,500 Transfers-In: General Fund (Additional - Prior Year's Unallocated Balance ) 1,178,650 546,650 - - - - Transfers-In: General Fund (Additional - Approved 10/1/2024 for Landslide) 6,400,000 - - - - - Total Revenues (Estimates)15,720,650 8,466,050 5,436,000 5,381,840 5,292,000 5,286,800 CIP Fund FY 2025 YE Estimates FY 2026 FY 2027 FY 2028 FY 2029 FY 2030 Expenditures Emergency Stabilization Measures (Maintenance - Landslide)(18,910,000) (8,050,000) - Stabilization Measures (Capital - Landslide)(5,625,000) Capital Projects (5,690,000) (2,682,000) (5,748,000) (1,995,000) (1,800,000) (2,870,000) Loans to Districts (ACLAD and KCLAD) (3,527,000) - - - - - Personnel for Capital Programs (1) (80,000) (230,000) (246,100) (263,300) (281,700) (301,400) Ladera Loan Payment (889,500) (889,500) (889,500) (889,500) (889,500) (889,500) Total Expenditures (Estimates)(29,096,500) (17,476,500) (6,883,600) (3,147,800) (2,971,200) (4,060,900) Projected Ending Fund Balance 16,216,650 7,206,200 5,758,600 7,992,640 10,313,440 11,539,340 City Council Restricted Fund Balance Less: Reserve Policy (5,000,000) (5,000,000) (5,000,000) (5,000,000) (5,000,000) (5,000,000) Projected Restricted Balance 11,216,650 2,206,200 758,600 2,992,640 5,313,440 6,539,340 14 Chart 6: CIP Fund Balance Projection It is important to note that as presented at the FY 2025-26 CIP Budget Workshop on April 29, 2025, Staff reported approximately $78.4 million of unfunded capital projects (see table below). These projects are not included in the five -year program as the CIP Fund does not have sufficient funding for the projects. Based on the report, landslide mitigation efforts are not budgeted in Year 2 through Year 5 and shown as a funding gap. Staff continues to search for grants and other funding opportunities from local and federal governments. Continued on Next Page 15 Table 7: CIP Funding Gap Summary for FY 2025-26 through FY 2029-30 (Presented at April 29 CIP Budget Workshop) Special Revenue Fund Balance Projections The City’s major special revenue funds are Gas Tax, Proposition A, Proposition C, American Rescue Act Plan (ARPA), Measure R, Measure M, and Measure W. Most of the funding for special revenues is designated for street maintenance, public rights -of- way maintenance, and transit-related expenses. Each year, Staff ensures special revenue funds are utilized for qualified projects before CIP reserves are appropriated. With respect to the Models forecast, it’s worth keeping in mind that some deficit balances may result from the timing of grant reimbursements, available funding to be carried forward, and projected revenues and expenditures that require ongoing review and adjustments over the long-term. Based on the prior year’s review, the latest model has programmed future anticipated transfers and adjusted revenues and expenditures to reduce deficit fund balances. As a result, any notable deficits will be further analyze d and adjusted to ensure that future expenditures do not exceed revenues. CONCLUSION: In conclusion, the FY 2025-26 Model serves as a crucial decision-making tool for the City, offering a comprehensive long-term financial outlook for use by the City Council and staff. Based on this information, Staff utilizes the Model regularly, anticipating future needs and making fiscal adjustments to avoid projected deficits. Also, due to a cautious budgeting approach, historically, the General Fund’s revenues have exceeded 5% of the proposed budget, with a spending rate of 95% of the adopted budget. By consistently using these strategies, the City has traditionally maintained financial stability. Future operating revenues and expenditures for all funds will be monitored and adjusted annually to ensure prudent spending and to minimize necessary subsidies from the FY 2025-26 FY 2026-27 FY 2027-28 FY 2028-29 FY 2029-30 Total Five-Years 8202 Abalone Cove Sanitary Sewer Rehabilitation Program - - 1,000,000 1,000,000 1,000,000 3,000,000 8302 Palos Verdes Drive South Landslide Repair Program - - 825,000 825,000 825,000 2,475,000 8304 Portuguese Bend Landslide Remediation - 19,995,000 2,500,000 2,000,000 1,500,000 25,995,000 8307 Portuguese Bend Landslide Remediation - Emergency Stabilization Measures - 7,045,000 3,520,000 - - 10,565,000 8503 New Civic Center Campus Master Plan - 5,145,000 5,145,000 - 10,290,000 8701 Storm Drain Asset Management Program & Master Plan Update - 500,000 500,000 500,000 500,000 2,000,000 8715 Stormwater Drainage Improvements - Palos Verdes Drive South at Peppertree Drive - 320,000 3,005,000 - - 3,325,000 8840 Western Avenue Beautification (Long Term)225,000 3,000,000 350,000 - - 3,575,000 8856 Roadway Asset Management Program - Residential Streets 4,345,000 4,825,000 2,450,000 2,740,000 2,800,000 17,160,000 TOTAL 4,570,000 35,685,000 19,295,000 12,210,000 6,625,000 $78,385,000 CIP Funding Gap Summary Projects 16 General Fund. While the General Fund will need to support several other funds, the majority of restricted funds are expected to sustain annual operating expenses over the next decade. These funds will be carefully monitored to ensure they maintain sufficient funding levels. While the General Fund is estimated to remain structurally balanced over the 10 -year forecast based on projected prudent spending and conservative revenue projections, the Capital Improvement Program (CIP) Fund balance has been significantly depleted. Without new revenue sources, the City’s ability to fund future capital programs will be limited, placing additional strain on already constrained General Fund transfers. With over $78.4 million in unfunded capital projects, this remains a key financial challen ge for the City. 17 10-Year General Fund Balance Summary and Details FUND TYPE 2025E 2026B 2027F 2028F 2029F 2030F 2031F 2032F 2033F 2034F 101-GENERAL FUND 1-REVENUES 42,969,264 41,480,200 42,860,737 44,327,027 45,824,406 47,376,112 48,975,961 50,627,165 52,329,149 54,082,192 2-EXPENDITURES 38,545,588 37,156,550 38,910,039 40,480,647 41,901,436 43,381,290 45,064,930 46,660,354 48,463,874 50,183,651 OPERATING SURPLUS/(DEFICIT) 4,423,676 4,323,650 3,950,698 3,846,380 3,922,970 3,994,822 3,911,030 3,966,810 3,865,274 3,898,542 3-TRANSFERS-IN 250,000 320,000 600,000 600,000 600,000 600,000 600,000 600,000 600,000 600,000 4-TRANSFERS-OUT 13,015,650 4,643,650 4,298,620 4,254,441 4,158,952 4,147,774 4,083,965 4,017,942 3,940,696 3,860,360 TRANSFERS NET (12,765,650) (4,323,650) (3,698,620) (3,654,441) (3,558,952) (3,547,774) (3,483,965) (3,417,942) (3,340,696) (3,260,360) TOTAL OVER/(UNDER)(8,341,974) - 252,078 191,939 364,018 447,048 427,065 548,868 524,578 638,182 BALANCE 28,700,000 28,000,000 28,252,078 28,444,017 28,808,035 29,255,083 29,682,147 30,231,015 30,755,594 31,393,776 POLICY RESERVE (50% EXPS.) 16,800,000 17,000,000 17,510,000 18,035,300 18,576,359 19,133,650 19,707,659 20,298,889 20,907,856 21,535,091 EXCESS/(DEFICIENCY)11,900,000 11,000,000 10,742,078 10,408,717 10,231,676 10,121,433 9,974,488 9,932,126 9,847,738 9,858,684 A-1 City o Ranchos Palos Verdes FY 2024-25 to FY 2029-2030 Draft 5-Year All Special Funds Model FUND FY 2025 YE FY2026 FY2027 FY2028 FY2029 FY2030 202-GAS TAX (HUTA)BEGINNING BALANCE $1,429,146 $1,010,010 $756,524 $510,624 $272,824 $156,724 REVENUES & TRANSFERS 1,184,600 1,266,514 1,304,500 1,343,600 1,383,900 1,425,400 MAINTENANCE & OPERATIONS -1,603,736 -1,520,000 -1,550,400 -1,581,400 -1,500,000 -1,400,000 CAPITAL 0 0 0 0 0 0 OPERATING SURPLUS/(DEFICIT)(419,136)(253,486)(245,900)(237,800)(116,100)25,400 PROJECTED FUND BALANCE $1,010,010 $756,524 $510,624 $272,824 $156,724 $182,124 203-1972 ACT LANDSCAPE/LIGHT BEGINNING BALANCE $30,818 $31,718 $332,818 $333,940 $335,084 $336,252 REVENUES & TRANSFERS 900 301,100 1,122 1,144 1,167 1,191 MAINTENANCE & OPERATIONS 0 0 0 0 0 0 OPERATING SURPLUS/(DEFICIT)900 301,100 1,122 1,144 1,167 1,191 PROJECTED FUND BALANCE $31,718 $332,818 $333,940 $335,084 $336,252 $337,442 204-GAS TAX (SB-1)BEGINNING BALANCE $2,177,208 $2,631,008 $3,058,536 $3,419,436 $2,628,736 $2,915,536 REVENUES & TRANSFERS 1,150,100 1,177,528 1,212,900 1,249,300 1,286,800 1,325,400 MAINTENANCE & OPERATIONS 0 0 0 0 0 0 CAPITAL -696,300 -750,000 -852,000 -2,040,000 -1,000,000 -1,000,000 OPERATING SURPLUS/(DEFICIT)453,800 427,528 360,900 (790,700)286,800 325,400 PROJECTED FUND BALANCE $2,631,008 $3,058,536 $3,419,436 $2,628,736 $2,915,536 $3,240,936 209-EL PRADO LIGHTING DISTRICT BEGINNING BALANCE $57,181 $62,181 $67,481 $72,965 $78,641 $84,516 REVENUES & TRANSFERS 5,000 5,300 5,484 5,676 5,875 6,072 MAINTENANCE & OPERATIONS 0 0 0 0 0 0 OPERATING SURPLUS/(DEFICIT)5,000 5,300 5,484 5,676 5,875 6,072 PROJECTED FUND BALANCE $62,181 $67,481 $72,965 $78,641 $84,516 $90,588 211-1911 ACT STREET LIGHTING BEGINNING BALANCE $2,918,462 $3,278,888 $3,715,188 $3,356,688 $3,893,788 $4,446,988 REVENUES & TRANSFERS 986,800 997,400 1,027,300 1,058,100 1,089,800 1,122,500 MAINTENANCE & OPERATIONS -579,825 -491,100 -505,800 -521,000 -536,600 -552,700 CAPITAL -46,549 -70,000 -880,000 OPERATING SURPLUS/(DEFICIT)360,426 436,300 (358,500)537,100 553,200 569,800 PROJECTED FUND BALANCE $3,278,888 $3,715,188 $3,356,688 $3,893,788 $4,446,988 $5,016,788 213-WASTE REDUCTION BEGINNING BALANCE $524,259 $446,929 $315,629 $180,429 $61,929 $2,329 REVENUES & TRANSFERS 214,700 216,100 222,600 250,000 320,000 400,000 MAINTENANCE & OPERATIONS -292,030 -347,400 -357,800 -368,500 -379,600 -391,000 OPERATING SURPLUS/(DEFICIT)(77,330)(131,300)(135,200)(118,500)(59,600)9,000 PROJECTED FUND BALANCE $446,929 $315,629 $180,429 $61,929 $2,329 $11,329 1 of 6 B-1 City o Ranchos Palos Verdes FY 2024-25 to FY 2029-2030 Draft 5-Year All Special Funds Model 214-AIR QUALITY MANAGEMENT BEGINNING BALANCE $80,910 $123,210 $166,010 $208,866 $251,779 $294,751 REVENUES & TRANSFERS 42,300 42,800 42,856 42,913 42,971 43,031 MAINTENANCE & OPERATIONS 0 0 0 0 0 0 OPERATING SURPLUS/(DEFICIT)42,300 42,800 42,856 42,913 42,971 43,031 PROJECTED FUND BALANCE $123,210 $166,010 $208,866 $251,779 $294,751 $337,781 215-PROPOSITION C BEGINNING BALANCE $481,802 $368,602 $113,978 $186,178 $86,078 $1,064,478 REVENUES & TRANSFERS 971,800 895,376 922,200 949,900 978,400 1,007,800 MAINTENANCE & OPERATIONS 0 0 0 0 0 0 CAPITAL -1,085,000 -1,150,000 -850,000 -1,050,000 0 -1,395,000 OPERATING SURPLUS/(DEFICIT)(113,200)(254,624)72,200 (100,100)978,400 (387,200) PROJECTED FUND BALANCE $368,602 $113,978 $186,178 $86,078 $1,064,478 $677,278 216-PROPOSITION A BEGINNING BALANCE $2,501,376 $2,824,576 $3,060,950 $3,304,350 $3,555,050 $3,813,250 REVENUES & TRANSFERS 1,228,600 1,141,774 1,176,000 1,211,300 1,247,600 1,285,000 MAINTENANCE & OPERATIONS -905,400 -905,400 -932,600 -960,600 -989,400 -1,019,100 OPERATING SURPLUS/(DEFICIT)323,200 236,374 243,400 250,700 258,200 265,900 PROJECTED FUND BALANCE $2,824,576 $3,060,950 $3,304,350 $3,555,050 $3,813,250 $4,079,150 217-PUBLIC SAFETY GRANTS BEGINNING BALANCE $42,739 $64,039 $86,739 $79,497 $72,314 $65,192 REVENUES & TRANSFERS 191,300 192,700 192,758 192,817 192,878 192,939 TRANSFERS OUT -170,000 -170,000 -200,000 -200,000 -200,000 -200,000 OPERATING SURPLUS/(DEFICIT)21,300 22,700 (7,242)(7,183)(7,122)(7,061) PROJECTED FUND BALANCE $64,039 $86,739 $79,497 $72,314 $65,192 $58,131 220-MEASURE R BEGINNING BALANCE $3,088,902 $3,425,868 $1,664,650 $1,397,350 $584,550 $681,850 REVENUES & TRANSFERS 808,100 758,782 781,500 804,900 829,000 853,900 MAINTENANCE & OPERATIONS -88,430 -125,000 -128,800 -132,700 -136,700 -140,800 CAPITAL -382,704 -2,395,000 -920,000 -1,485,000 -595,000 -340,000 OPERATING SURPLUS/(DEFICIT)336,966 (1,761,218)(267,300)(812,800)97,300 373,100 PROJECTED FUND BALANCE $3,425,868 $1,664,650 $1,397,350 $584,550 $681,850 $1,054,950 221-MEASURE M & MEASURE M GRANTBEGINNING BALANCE $548,310 $433,116 $282,396 $127,996 $3,496 $53,496 REVENUES & TRANSFERS 831,000 2,417,780 2,791,700 850,000 950,000 978,500 MAINTENANCE & OPERATIONS -623,400 -918,500 -946,100 -974,500 -900,000 -890,000 CAPITAL -322,794 -1,650,000 -2,000,000 0 0 0 OPERATING SURPLUS/(DEFICIT)(115,194)(150,720)(154,400)(124,500)50,000 88,500 PROJECTED FUND BALANCE $433,116 $282,396 $127,996 $3,496 $53,496 $141,996 2 of 6 B-2 City o Ranchos Palos Verdes FY 2024-25 to FY 2029-2030 Draft 5-Year All Special Funds Model 222-HABITAT RESTORATION BEGINNING BALANCE -$28,636 $26,264 $3,864 $3,864 $3,864 $3,863 REVENUES & TRANSFERS 250,900 174,600 202,910 208,997 215,267 221,725 MAINTENANCE & OPERATIONS -196,000 -197,000 -202,910 -208,997 -215,267 -221,725 OPERATING SURPLUS/(DEFICIT)54,900 (22,400)0 (0)(0)(0) PROJECTED FUND BALANCE $26,264 $3,864 $3,864 $3,864 $3,863 $3,863 223-SUBREGION ONE MAINT BEGINNING BALANCE $798,288 $785,188 $770,088 $789,049 $808,939 $829,804 REVENUES & TRANSFERS 83,300 67,300 70,873 73,359 75,938 78,612 MAINTENANCE & OPERATIONS -96,400 -82,400 -51,912 -53,469 -55,073 -56,725 OPERATING SURPLUS/(DEFICIT)(13,100)(15,100)18,961 19,890 20,865 21,887 PROJECTED FUND BALANCE $785,188 $770,088 $789,049 $808,939 $829,804 $851,691 224-MEASURE A MAINTENANCE BEGINNING BALANCE $46,626 $13,226 $15,926 $180,726 $608,026 $1,048,126 REVENUES & TRANSFERS 26,600 662,700 682,600 703,100 724,200 745,900 MAINTENANCE & OPERATIONS -60,000 -260,000 -267,800 -275,800 -284,100 -292,600 CAPITAL 0 -400,000 -250,000 0 0 0 OPERATING SURPLUS/(DEFICIT)(33,400)2,700 164,800 427,300 440,100 453,300 PROJECTED FUND BALANCE $13,226 $15,926 $180,726 $608,026 $1,048,126 $1,501,426 225-ABALONE COVE SEWER DIST BEGINNING BALANCE $80,937 $86,964 $34,069 $34,710 $36,170 $38,324 REVENUES & TRANSFERS 132,700 82,405 140,000 145,000 150,000 153,000 MAINTENANCE & OPERATIONS -126,673 -135,300 -139,359 -143,540 -147,846 -152,281 OPERATING SURPLUS/(DEFICIT)6,027 (52,895)641 1,460 2,154 719 PROJECTED FUND BALANCE $86,964 $34,069 $34,710 $36,170 $38,324 $39,043 228-DONOR RESTRICT CONTRIB BEGINNING BALANCE $943,162 $978,562 $1,013,762 $1,049,340 $1,085,302 $1,121,653 REVENUES & TRANSFERS 95,400 52,200 52,758 53,327 53,908 54,500 MAINTENANCE & OPERATIONS -60,000 -17,000 -17,180 -17,365 -17,556 -17,753 OPERATING SURPLUS/(DEFICIT)35,400 35,200 35,578 35,962 36,351 36,747 PROJECTED FUND BALANCE $978,562 $1,013,762 $1,049,340 $1,085,302 $1,121,653 $1,158,400 285-IA PORTUGUESE BEND MAINT BEGINNING BALANCE $94,884 $60,684 $26,784 $26,784 $26,784 $26,784 REVENUES & TRANSFERS 16,800 17,100 51,000 51,000 51,000 51,000 MAINTENANCE & OPERATIONS -51,000 -51,000 -51,000 -51,000 -51,000 -51,000 OPERATING SURPLUS/(DEFICIT)(34,200)(33,900)0 0 0 0 PROJECTED FUND BALANCE $60,684 $26,784 $26,784 $26,784 $26,784 $26,784 3 of 6 B-3 City o Ranchos Palos Verdes FY 2024-25 to FY 2029-2030 Draft 5-Year All Special Funds Model 310-CDBG BEGINNING BALANCE $27,851 $166,626 $166,626 $166,626 $166,626 $166,626 REVENUES & TRANSFERS 150,000 470,000 150,000 150,000 150,000 150,000 MAINTENANCE & OPERATIONS 0 0 0 0 0 0 CAPITAL -11,225 -470,000 -150,000 -150,000 -150,000 -150,000 OPERATING SURPLUS/(DEFICIT)138,775 0 0 0 0 0 PROJECTED FUND BALANCE $166,626 $166,626 $166,626 $166,626 $166,626 $166,626 FUND FY 2025 YE FY2026 FY2027 FY2028 FY2029 FY2030 330-CIP BEGINNING BALANCE $29,592,500 $16,216,650 $7,206,200 $5,758,600 $7,992,640 $10,313,440 REVENUES & TRANSFERS 15,720,650 8,466,050 5,436,000 5,381,840 5,292,000 5,286,800 EMERGENCY STABILIZATION MEASURES -18,910,000 -13,675,000 0 0 0 0 CAPITAL -5,690,000 -2,682,000 -5,748,000 -1,995,000 -1,800,000 -2,870,000 OTHER -4,496,500 -1,119,500 -1,135,600 -1,152,800 -1,171,200 -1,190,900 OPERATING SURPLUS/(DEFICIT)(13,375,850)(9,010,450)(1,447,600)2,234,040 2,320,800 1,225,900 PROJECTED FUND BALANCE $16,216,650 $7,206,200 $5,758,600 $7,992,640 $10,313,440 $11,539,340 CITY COUNCIL RESERVE POLICY -5,000,000 -5,000,000 -5,000,000 -5,000,000 -5,000,000 -5,000,000 PROJECTED RESTRICTED BALANCE $11,216,650 $2,206,200 $758,600 $2,992,640 $5,313,440 $6,539,340 331-FEDERAL GRANT BEGINNING BALANCE $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 REVENUES & TRANSFERS 50,000 2,574,900 0 0 0 0 MAINTENANCE & OPERATIONS 0 0 0 0 0 0 CAPITAL -50,000 -2,574,900 0 0 0 0 OPERATING SURPLUS/(DEFICIT)0 0 0 0 0 0 PROJECTED FUND BALANCE $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 332-STATE GRANT BEGINNING BALANCE $592,055 $1,349,620 $1,395,720 $1,395,720 $1,395,720 $1,395,720 REVENUES & TRANSFERS 959,377 1,883,100 0 0 0 0 MAINTENANCE & OPERATIONS 0 -342,000 0 0 0 0 CAPITAL -201,812 -1,495,000 0 0 0 0 OPERATING SURPLUS/(DEFICIT)757,565 46,100 0 0 0 0 PROJECTED FUND BALANCE $1,349,620 $1,395,720 $1,395,720 $1,395,720 $1,395,720 $1,395,720 333-FEDERAL GRANTS ARPA BEGINNING BALANCE $301,913 $301,913 $303,913 $303,913 $303,913 $303,913 REVENUES & TRANSFERS 3,419,856 2,000 0 0 0 0 MAINTENANCE & OPERATIONS 0 0 0 0 0 0 CAPITAL -3,419,856 0 0 0 0 0 OPERATING SURPLUS/(DEFICIT)0 2,000 0 0 0 0 PROJECTED FUND BALANCE $301,913 $303,913 $303,913 $303,913 $303,913 $303,913 4 of 6 B-4 City o Ranchos Palos Verdes FY 2024-25 to FY 2029-2030 Draft 5-Year All Special Funds Model 334-QUIMBY PARK DEVELOPMENT BEGINNING BALANCE $59,961 $3,741 $12,279 $20,816 $29,352 $37,887 REVENUES & TRANSFERS 3,740 8,538 8,537 8,536 8,535 8,534 MAINTENANCE & OPERATIONS -59,960 0 0 0 0 0 OPERATING SURPLUS/(DEFICIT)(56,220)8,538 8,537 8,536 8,535 8,534 PROJECTED FUND BALANCE $3,741 $12,279 $20,816 $29,352 $37,887 $46,421 336-LOW MODERATE INCOME BEGINNING BALANCE $444,018 $524,318 $575,518 $628,553 $683,500 $740,440 REVENUES & TRANSFERS 80,300 51,200 53,035 54,948 56,939 58,903 MAINTENANCE & OPERATIONS 0 0 0 0 0 0 OPERATING SURPLUS/(DEFICIT)80,300 51,200 53,035 54,948 56,939 58,903 PROJECTED FUND BALANCE $524,318 $575,518 $628,553 $683,500 $740,440 $799,342 337-AFFORDABLE HOUSING PROJ BEGINNING BALANCE $936,238 $963,138 $996,038 $1,029,596 $1,063,825 $1,098,739 REVENUES & TRANSFERS 26,900 32,900 33,558 34,229 34,914 35,612 MAINTENANCE & OPERATIONS 0 0 0 0 0 0 OPERATING SURPLUS/(DEFICIT)26,900 32,900 33,558 34,229 34,914 35,612 PROJECTED FUND BALANCE $963,138 $996,038 $1,029,596 $1,063,825 $1,098,739 $1,134,351 338-DEVELOP IMPACT MIT (EET)BEGINNING BALANCE $87,237 $93,839 $107,339 $120,909 $134,550 $148,265 REVENUES & TRANSFERS 6,602 13,500 13,570 13,641 13,714 13,789 MAINTENANCE & OPERATIONS 0 0 0 0 0 0 OPERATING SURPLUS/(DEFICIT)6,602 13,500 13,570 13,641 13,714 13,789 PROJECTED FUND BALANCE $93,839 $107,339 $120,909 $134,550 $148,265 $162,053 340-BICYLE/PEDESTRIAN ACCESS BEGINNING BALANCE $0 $0 $32,693 $32,693 $32,693 $32,693 REVENUES & TRANSFERS 42,000 190,693 0 0 0 0 MAINTENANCE & OPERATIONS 0 0 0 0 0 0 CAPITAL -42,000 -158,000 0 0 0 0 OPERATING SURPLUS/(DEFICIT)0 32,693 0 0 0 0 PROJECTED FUND BALANCE $0 $32,693 $32,693 $32,693 $32,693 $32,693 343-MEASURE W BEGINNING BALANCE $1,322,716 $1,522,058 $414,258 $476,558 $540,758 $606,958 REVENUES & TRANSFERS 720,200 704,200 2,533,900 3,665,900 1,013,700 957,100 MAINTENANCE & OPERATIONS -403,000 -652,000 -671,600 -691,700 -712,500 -733,800 CAPITAL -117,858 -1,160,000 -1,800,000 -2,910,000 -235,000 -155,000 OPERATING SURPLUS/(DEFICIT)199,342 (1,107,800)62,300 64,200 66,200 68,300 PROJECTED FUND BALANCE $1,522,058 $414,258 $476,558 $540,758 $606,958 $675,258 5 of 6 B-5 City o Ranchos Palos Verdes FY 2024-25 to FY 2029-2030 Draft 5-Year All Special Funds Model 681-EQUIPMENT REPLACEMENT BEGINNING BALANCE $3,373,683 $2,736,194 $2,265,065 $1,779,802 $1,279,981 $765,166 REVENUES & TRANSFERS 326,800 310,800 320,124 329,728 339,620 550,000 MAINTENANCE & OPERATIONS -964,289 -781,929 -805,387 -829,548 -854,435 -880,068 OPERATING SURPLUS/(DEFICIT)(637,489)(471,129)(485,263)(499,821)(514,815)(330,068) PROJECTED FUND BALANCE $2,736,194 $2,265,065 $1,779,802 $1,279,981 $765,166 $435,098 682-EMPLOYEE PENSION PLAN BEGINNING BALANCE $1,042,347 $1,079,847 $854,947 $715,060 $559,174 $386,220 REVENUES & TRANSFERS 432,500 437,100 450,213 463,719 477,631 491,960 MAINTENANCE & OPERATIONS -395,000 -662,000 -590,100 -619,605 -650,585 -683,114 OPERATING SURPLUS/(DEFICIT)37,500 (224,900)(139,887)(155,886)(172,954)(191,154) PROJECTED FUND BALANCE $1,079,847 $854,947 $715,060 $559,174 $386,220 $195,066 795-IA ABALONE COVE MAINT BEGINNING BALANCE $1,110,297 $1,128,933 $1,128,733 $1,128,067 $1,126,898 $1,125,187 REVENUES & TRANSFERS 20,700 22,800 23,484 24,189 24,914 25,662 MAINTENANCE & OPERATIONS -2,064 -23,000 -24,150 -25,358 -26,625 -27,957 OPERATING SURPLUS/(DEFICIT)18,636 (200)(666)(1,169)(1,711)(2,295) PROJECTED FUND BALANCE $1,128,933 $1,128,733 $1,128,067 $1,126,898 $1,125,187 $1,122,892 6 of 6 B-6