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CC SR 20240418 02 - FY24-25 Budget Assumptions CITY COUNCIL MEETING DATE: 04/18/2024 AGENDA REPORT AGENDA HEADING: Regular Business AGENDA TITLE: Consideration and possible action to begin developing the Fiscal Year (FY) 2024-25 Preliminary General Fund Budget. RECOMMENDED COUNCIL ACTIONS: 1. Review the budget assumptions used to develop the proposed FY 2024-25 General Fund Budget, and provide Staff with direction on the following: • Affirming the FY 2024-25 budget assumptions, which include: i. Revenue projections of $39,473,700 which includes continuing the 3% Utility User Tax rate and Transfers-In of $250,000; ii. Personnel costs of $14,630,600: 1. Including all existing and approved positions for competitive, part-time, confidential, and management; 2. Funding of 50% for the Associate Planner position aligned with the Department’s recruitment schedule; 3. Continuing the cost-of-living adjustment (COLA), performance merits, and benefits, pursuant to labor agreements; 4. Continuing to underfill Accounting Supervisor (Finance). 5. Continuing to freeze Executive Assistant (City Manager’s Office). 6. Continuing to freeze GIS Coordinator (Community Development Department). iii. Non-Personnel costs of $20,579,550, including public safety services, operational costs, one-time expenditures, and contingency budget for emergency repairs; and, iv. Transfers-Out of $4,177,500 that includes transfers to the Capital Infrastructure Program (CIP), Improvement Authority for Portuguese Bend, Sub-Region One, Abalone Cove Sewer, and Habitat Restoration Fund. • Funding priorities for the FY 2023-24 unallocated fund balance of $2.7 million which may include: i. Additional funding for the City Council Goals; ii. Additional transfers of $889,500 to the CIP Fund in accordance with the City Council Reserve Policy No. 41; iii. Transfers of $400,000 to the Employee Pension Service (EPS) Fund in accordance with the Pension Guidelines; and/or iv. Additional transfers the CIP Fund. 1 RANCHO PALOS VERDES FISCAL IMPACT: N/A Amount Budgeted: N/A Additional Appropriation: N/A Account Number(s): ORIGINATED BY: Jason Loya, Senior Administrative Analyst Vina Ramos, Director of Finance VR REVIEWED BY: Vina Ramos, Director of Finance VR APPROVED BY: Ara Mihranian, AICP, City Manager ATTACHED SUPPORTING DOCUMENTS: None BACKGROUND: The City's budget serves as a financial plan, forecasting anticipated revenues and expenditures for the fiscal year spanning from July 1 to June 30. This annual plan upholds the City's longstanding commitment to fiscal responsibility and transparency, emphasizing the prioritization of public safety and the delivery of exceptional services to the community. Following completion of the City Council Goals Workshop, the budget process continues with a presentation of the proposed budget, emphasizing the General Fund budget assumptions for the ensuing year. The framework for developing the budget assumptions begins with a detailed review of mid-year and year-end financial data, providing an outlook on trends and fiscal requirements for the upcoming period. Before presenting the assumptions to the City Council, the Finance Department presents the General Fund budget assumptions to the Finance Advisory Committee (FAC) and the Public Works Department holds a series of meetings with the Infrastructure Management Committee (IMAC) regarding the City’s capital projects. Overall, the City Council's budget process encompasses the following steps: On March 13, 2024, at the City Council Goals Workshop, the Council received a third- quarter status report on their FY 2023-24 goals. During this session, Staff proposed to carry over these goals which includes infrastructure projects such as the Portuguese Bend Landslide Remediation Project and along with a new goal supp orting and growing local businesses. The budget allocation for these projects will be discussed during the City Council Goals Workshop March 13 Budget Workshops April 18 (GF) April 29 (CIP) Preliminary Budget June 4 Budget Hearing & Adoption June 18 2 • • • 1f budget workshops, including tonight’s workshop session for the General Fund and the Capital Infrastructure Program (CIP) Fund workshop on April 29, 2024. In preparation for the FY 2024-25 General Fund Budget Workshop, Staff have incorporated the latest assumptions to help structure the proposed budget. Over the past two months, the City Manager, Director of Finance, and Department Heads have held various budget meetings to formulate the budget, ensuring balance (expenditures not exceeding revenues), fiscal sustainability, and alignment with community and organizational priorities. Within each discussion, Staff considered the status of the baseline budget, year-end estimates, and programmatic changes approved by the City Council. Adjustments were also made to accommodate regulatory requirements, emergency response efforts, contractual obligations, and operational needs such as personnel, maintenance, professional services, and equipment. Following thorough discussions and approval from the City Manager, Staff prepared this staff report with a focus on the General Fund. In summary, the following information is presented: • FY 2023-24 General Fund Year-End Estimates • FY 2024-25 Revenue and Expenditure Assumptions • Recurring vs. One-time Revenues and Expenditures • FY 2024-25 Fund Balance Summary DISCUSSION: FY 2023-24 General Fund Year-End Estimates To develop the FY 2024-25 proposed budget, Staff reviews and uses the projected year- end for FY 2023-24, as outlined below. The General Fund’s projected fund balance, including transfers out, is almost $34.6 million, marking a $1.5 million or almost 5% increase over the revised budget. After applying the 50% City Council Reserve Policy, and other transfers out to CIP Fund, and Employee Pension Services (EPS) Fund, the estimated unallocated fund balance is almost $16.8 million, reflecting an increase of approximately $1.5 million or 10% from June 30, 2023. As indicated in Table 1 on the next page, City revenues are anticipated to finish the year roughly $38.8 million or $65,700 or 0.2% higher than budgeted, with expenditure estimated to be almost $1.5 million or 4% lower than budgeted. A summary of the mid- year and year-end estimates will also be part of Staff’s presentation this evening. CONTINUED NEXT PAGE 3 Table 1: FY 2023-24 General Fund – Fund Balance Summary FY 2024-25 General Fund Revenue Assumptions Overview – Revenues A growing economy helped sustain revenue growth over the past two fiscal years. Despite its various impacts, persistent inflation has elevated revenues through FY 2022 -23, resulting in a 7.8% increase over the prior year, reaching nearly $38.7 million, exc luding transfers. As the trend of disinflation continues, however, FY 2023-24 revenues remain relatively steady, but have grown at a slower pace compared to the past two years. To date, FY 2023-24 year-end estimates indicate a subtle increase of 0.2% over the revised budget. As noted, the slower pace of growth is attributed to the tighter monetary policy and efforts to bring inflation down to the 2% level. This overall trend, along with various factors for each revenue source, has influenced the assumptions used to develop the FY 2024-25 proposed budget. Anticipated FY 2024-25 General Fund revenues, including transfers, are expected to reach nearly $39.5 million. Projections suggest a $0.7 million, or 1.8%, increase over the FY 2023-24 revised budget, and a $0.6 million, or 1.6%, increase over year-end estimates. The proposed budget acknowledges industry -specific trends amid ongoing economic uncertainty and preserves a conservat ive outlook, with ongoing monitoring expected throughout the budget cycle. A comprehensive discussion and analysis of the General Fund's primary revenue sources follows below. General Fund FY 2023-24 Revised Budget FY 2023-24 Year-End Estimates Beginning Fund Balance 33,260,494 33,260,494 - 0% Add: Revenues 38,511,800 38,577,500 65,700 0.2% Add: Transfers-In 270,000 270,000 - 0.0% Total Revenues 38,781,800 38,847,500 65,700 0.2% Less: Expenditures (34,378,400) (33,247,200) (1,131,200)-3.3% Less: Transfers to CIP (TOT) (4,421,000) (4,121,000) (300,000)-7% Less: Other Transfers-Out (145,000) (245,000) 100,000 69% Total Expenditures (38,944,400) (37,613,200) (1,331,200) -3% Projected Ending Fund Balance 06/30/2024 33,097,894 34,494,794 1,396,900 4% City Council Restricted Fund Balance Less: Additional Transfers - CIP Ladera (PY Surplus) (889,500) (889,500) - 0.0% Less: Transfers to Pension (PY Surplus) (291,300) (291,300) - 0.0% 50% Reserve Policy (16,756,750) (16,623,600) 133,150 -0.8% Projected Unallocated Fund Balance - 06/30/24 15,160,344 16,690,394 1,530,050 10% Increase/(Decrease) from Revised Budget 4 Analysis – Revenues Property Tax Property Tax is the primary and most stable revenue source in the General Fund. The FY 2024-25 proposed budget forecasts property tax revenues to surpass $17.5 million, marking an increase of $0.4 million, or 2.3%, over the FY 2023-24 revised budget. When compared to year-end estimates, anticipated revenues in FY 2024-25 reflect a similar increase of approximately $0.4 million, or 2.4%. Growth in revenue stems from assessed property values, which typically rise annually by no more than 2%, with potential ad ditional growth from home sales triggering property reassessments and Proposition 8 value recaptures. Three main factors influence the annual change in property tax revenue: • Inflation (Based on the California Consumer Price Index – CCPI): Properties not reduced by Proposition 8 are subject to a maximum CCPI increase of 2% annually. For FY 2024-25, the County Assessor will apply a 2% increase, resulting in a $262 million increase in real property value within Rancho Palos Verdes. • Transfer of Ownership: Sales of properties between January and December 2023 contribute to the property tax revenue calculation, adding $348 million to the City’s overall property value. • Proposition 8 Recapture: Properties experiencing a decrease in value due to market downturns can have their tax assessment based on current market prices under Proposition 8. As values recover, these properties may see assessed value increases exceeding the 2% CPI limit. However, based on the recent climate in the housing market, some homeowners may be eligible for Proposition 8 reductions due to recent median price changes. Any significant impacts from this potential decline in value will be monitored and reported accordingly. These factors, along with other considerations in property tax calculation, contribute to an expected 3.7% increase in overall property value. This, combined with property tax transfer revenue from property sales, revenue from property tax instead of vehicle license fees, and other minor revenue sources, informs the projection for FY 2024 -25. However, a slight decline is projected at year-end compared to FY 2023-23 budgeted revenues. This decline is due to the shortfall in property transfer taxes, which are often challenging to project and sensitive to the overall sales volume in the housing market. Property Taxes FY 22-23 Actual Revenue: $16,355,675 FY 23-24 Year-end Estimate: $17,132,100 FY 24-25 Proposed Budget: $17,545,000 FY 24-25 Net Change to YE Estimate: +$412,900 (2.4%) 5 Transient Occupancy Tax (TOT) TOT, the second-largest revenue source in the General Fund, mainly derives from Terranea Resort, contributing $6.4 million, or 98%, of the proposed $6.6 million in FY 2024-25. The remaining portion comes from miscellaneous hotel tax revenues. In total, the current projection reflects a decrease of $0.3, or 5%, over the FY 2023 -24 revised budget. This decline follows the peak in TOT revenues observed in FY 2022 -23, where actual revenues were the highest on record. Nonetheless, FY 2024-25 proposed revenues are expected to rise past FY 2023-24 year-end estimates by $55,000, or 0.8%, aligning with a more cautious forecast as the economy slows. Staff’s forecast also considers historic actuals and recent trends, along with projections provided by Terranea. Transient Occupancy Tax FY 22-23 Actual Revenue: $6,853,001 FY 23-24 Year-end Estimate: $6,525,000 FY 24-25 Proposed Budget: $6,580,000 FY 24-25 Net Change to YE Estimate: +$55,000 (0.8%) Sales and Use Tax Sales Tax revenues are forecasted to near almost $2.9 million in FY 2024 -25, indicating a minor decrease of approximately $5,800, or 0.2%, from the prior year's revised budget. Revenue estimates are primarily based upon data provided by the City’s sales tax consultant, HdL. Adjustments to the year-end estimates and next year’s budget are provided as economic data becomes available and shifts accordingly. Despite a declining growth rate, prices remain elevated because of inflation, thus creating a larger taxable base for this category. To maintain a conservative outlook, proposed revenues are expected to exceed FY 2023-24 year-end estimates by about $22,000, or 0.8%. Sales and Use Tax FY 22-23 Actual Revenue: $2,961,915 FY 23-24 Year-end Estimate: $2,828,000 FY 24-25 Proposed Budget: $2,850,000 FY 24-25 Net Change to YE Estimate: +$22,000 (0.8%) Permits and Fees Permits and Fees revenues, driven primarily by activity levels within the Community Development Department, are projected to total nearly $3.2 million in FY 2024 -25, marking a $55,000, or 1.7%, increase over the revised budget. Similarly, proposed revenues are projected to increase by approximately $29,000, or 0.9%, over FY 2023 -24 year-end estimates. Additionally, Staff will bring the Master Fee Schedule to the City Council on May 7, 2024, for possible consideration of adjustments in permit fees based on the Consumer Price Index (CPI). If an increase is approved, budget figures will be 6 updated to reflect any material changes and incorporated into the FY 2024 -25 Preliminary Budget. Permits and Fees FY 22-23 Actual Revenue: $3,643,419 FY 23-24 Year-end Estimate: $3,197,400 FY 24-25 Proposed Budget: $3,226,500 FY 24-25 Net Change to YE Estimate: -$29,100 (0.9%) Franchise Tax The City receives payments from franchisees for the use of municipal rights-of-way from vendors such as EDCO, Cox, and Southern California Gas Company. Staff analyzes historical data and reviews industry trends as the basis for annual assumptions. To date, franchise tax revenue is estimated to rise slightly above the FY 2023-24 revised budget, reaching $2.2 million in FY 2024-25, with a $50,000, or 2.3%, increase compared to both the revised budget and year-end estimates. Staff will monitor the trend in revenues and provide updates as they become available. Franchise Taxes FY 22-23 Actual Revenue: $2,359,276 FY 23-24 Year-end Estimate: $2,200,000 FY 24-25 Proposed Budget: $2,250,000 FY 24-25 Net Change to YE Estimate: +$50,000 (2.3%) Utility User Tax (UUT) UUT revenue is dependent on external factors, including weather conditions, consumption of utilities, natural gas prices, and rate increases. Staff uses historical data and estimates from the Bureau of Labor Statistics for CPI to establish baseline assumptions. FY 2024-25 proposed revenues are currently projected to grow by $63,000, or 2.5%, higher than the FY 2023 -24 revised budget, totaling $2.5 million. Energy rates are volatile in nature and are budgeted below year -end estimates by $40,000, or 1.5%, based on the current trends in energy prices, particularly with water and natural gas. UUT FY 22-23 Actual Revenue: $2,876,956 FY 23-24 Year-end Estimate: $2,585,000 FY 24-25 Proposed Budget: $2,545,000 FY 24-25 Net Change to YE Estimate: -$40,000 (-1.5%) 7 Other Taxes and Miscellaneous Revenues Other Revenue, encompassing various sources like the golf tax, business license tax, interest earnings, and one-time revenue, is expected to grow by 13%, or $0.5 million, over the FY 2023-24 revised budget. Compared to year-end estimates, the FY 2024-25 proposed revenues are projected to increase by $0.1 million, or 2.9%. Revenue growth for this category is also attributed to persistent inflation and a return to traditional revenue levels from recreation programs and rental/lease activities. FY 2024-25 proposed revenues total just over $4.2 million and will be monitored accordingly. Other Taxes and Miscellaneous Revenues FY 22-23 Actual Revenue: $3,678,952 FY 23-24 Year-end Estimate: $4,110,000 FY 24-25 Proposed Budget: $4,227,200 FY 24-25 Net Change to YE Estimate: +$117,200 (2.9%) Per Rancho Palos Verdes Municipal Code (RPVMC) Section 3.40.140, a legislative review of the Golf Tax is mandated every four years before adopting the budget for the subsequent fiscal year. The City Council set the Golf Tax rate at 10% for FY 2023 -24 on April 6, 2023. The ordinance stipulates that the City Council must assess if any adjustments to the golf tax rate are warranted based on the City's needs or if repeal is appropriate. The estimated FY 2024-25 Golf Tax revenue stands at $0.7 million and will be utilized to support ongoing operations. The next review will take place during the FY 2027-28 budget cycle. Table 2: FY 2024-25 Proposed General Fund Revenues 8 FY 2022-23 FY 2023-24 FY 2023-24 FY 2024-25 Variance to YE Revenue Source Estimate Actuals Revised Budget YE Estimate P roposed Budget Property Tax $ 16 ,355 ,675 $ 17 ,149 ,500 $ 17 ,132 ,100 $ 17 ,545 ,000 $4 12 ,900 1 2.4% Tra nsie nt Occ upa ncy Tax 6 ,853 ,001 6 ,927 ,900 6 ,525 ,000 6 ,580 ,000 $ 55 ,000 0.8% Sa les T ax 2 ,961 ,9 15 2 ,855 ,800 2 ,828 ,000 2 ,850 ,000 $ 22 ,000 0.8% Pe rmit s & Fees 3,643,4 19 3 ,17 1,500 3 ,197 ,400 3 ,226 ,500 $ 29 ,100 0.9 % Franc hi se Tax 2 ,359 ,276 2 ,200,000 2 ,200 ,000 2 ,250 ,000 $ 50,000 2.3 % Ut ility Use rs Tax 2 ,876 ,956 2 ,482 ,200 2 ,585 ,000 2 ,545 ,000 $ (40,000) -1.5 % othe r T axes & Mi sc. Reve nu es 3,678,952 3,724 ,900 4 ,110,000 4 ,227 ,200 $117 ,200 2.9 % Subtotal 38 ,729 ,195 38 ,511 ,800 38 ,577 ,500 39 ,223 ,700 $646 ,200 1.7% Tra nsfe rs In 300,000 270,000 270 ,000 250 ,000 $ (20,000) -7.4 % Total Revenues $ 39 ,029,195 $ 38 ,781 ,800 $ 38 ,847 ,500 $ 39 ,473 ,700 $626 ,200 1.6% Summary – Revenues In summary, the FY 2024-25 proposed revenue budget totals $39.5 million, including transfers, and indicates an increase of nearly $0.6 million, or 1.6%, over year -end estimates and roughly $0.7 million, or 1.8% over the revised budget. Property Tax remains the largest revenue source in the General Fund, representing 45% of proposed revenue, excluding transfers. TOT retains its position as the second -largest revenue source, comprising 17% of the General Fund. Charts 1 and 2 below illustrate the amounts and allocations of the major revenue sources in the General Fund. Chart 1: FY 2024-25 Proposed General Fund Revenues (Including Transfers) Chart 2: FY 2024-25 Proposed General Fund Revenues (excluding transfers) 9 $20 $18 $14 - VI $12 - 2 g $10 ..I :E $8 $6 $4 $2 $0 FY22 -23 Actuals □ FY23 -24 Rev . Budget □ FY23 -24 Year -End □ FY24 -25 Proposed ~~~~ D D □ DOD □□□ ODD D D □ Property Tax TOT Sa les Tax Sales Tax $2,850,000 ___ ~~-- 7% 17% Property Tax $17,545,000 45% Permits & Fees Franchise Tax UUT Other Revenues Permits & Fees $3,226,500 8% Other $9,022,200 23% ------ UUT $2,545,000 6% I Franchise Tax $2,250,000 6% --------.__ ____ __. Other Tax and Misc. $4,227,200 11% According to the details presented above, the current UUT rate of 3% remains a key source of revenues of over $2.5 million for the General Fund. Therefore, Staff seeks the City Council’s affirmation of maintaining the same tax rates for FY 2024-25. If approved, the total projected General Fund’s revenues for FY 2024-25 is $39.5 million, including transfers. FY 2024-25 General Fund Expenditure Assumptions Overview – Expenditures The development of FY 2024-25 budget assumptions sustains current service levels while addressing anticipated operational changes and needs. This includes expenditures related to City Council Goals, personnel requirements, transfers-out based on City Council Policy No. 41 Reserve Policy, regulatory changes, cont ractual obligations such as CPI increases, and one-time costs for new projects and or programs. The major increases from expenditure categories attributed to the Los Angeles County Sheriff for public safety services, as well as adjustments in salaries and benefits from labor agreements, and the newly formed American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees District Council 36 (AFSCME DC36), and the organizational changes resulting from the Classification and Compensation Study approved by the City Council at its March 19, 2024 meeting. The purpose of the newly established MOU and the study is to address the workforce compensation based on the level and scope of work performed by Staff, internal equity, and ensuring that the City’s workforce maintains a competitive edge by recruiting and retaining qualified employees based on comparable cities. With these steps along with additional recruitment efforts, Staff projects that FY 2024-25 may experience the lowest employee vacancy rate compared to the last three fiscal years. Overall, the FY 2024-25 proposed General Fund expenditure budget, excluding transfers- out, is almost $35.3 million, reflecting a $0.9 million or 3% increase over the FY 2023-24 revised budget. Compared to FY 2023-24 year-end estimates, this represents a $2 million or 6% increase. Transfers-out are estimated at $4.2 million, indicating a decrease of $0.4 million or 9% from the revised budget, or a decrease of almost $0.2 million or 4% from year-end estimates. In total, as shown in Chart 3 on the next page, the proposed General Fund expenditure budget is almost $39.4 million which includes almost $14.6 million of personnel, $20.6 million of non-personnel, and approximately $4.2 million of transfers-out. This reflects an increase of $0.4 million or 1% from the FY 2023-24 revised budget or an increase of $1.8 million or almost 5%, compared to current year-end estimates. CONTINUED NEXT PAGE 10 Chart 3: FY 2024-25 Proposed General Fund Expenditures (including transfers) Analysis – Expenditures The following is a detailed analysis of the budget assumptions guiding the preparation of General Fund proposed expenditures for FY 2024-25. The analysis compares proposed expenditures with the FY 2023-24 revised budget rather than year-end estimates. Year- end estimates were excluded from the analysis as they do not account for unfilled or vacant positions and incomplete projects or programs by year-end. Personnel Costs Personnel costs account for the salaries and benefits for City employees, including full - time, part-time, and stipend for the City Council and Planning Commissioners. Overall, based on the assumptions, the personnel budget is estimated at almost $14.6 million or 37% of the budget, after transfers out. This is an increase of $1.5 million or 11% over FY 2023-24 revised budget, which is highlighted below. Personnel Costs FY 23-24 Revised Budget: $13,214,300 FY 23-24 Year-end Estimate: $13,013,900 FY 24-25 Proposed Budget: $14,630,600 FY 24-25 Net Change to FY 23-24 Revised Budget: +$1,416,300 or 11% 11 Salaries On September 7, 2021, a professional services agreement (PSA) with PSPC was awarded to conduct a comprehensive classification and compensation study and organizational review for all full-time and part-time City-employed personnel. It involved examining positions, classifications, and compensation to ensure internal equity and competitiveness in recruiting and retaining qualified staff and aligned with ongoing labor negotiations. Consultation occurred with the City Council and labor units throughout the process, leading to the City Council’s approval of the proposed resolutions for changes in classifications and pay schedules on March 19, 2024. The changes were approved to be effective retroactively from July 1, 2023. The estimated fiscal impact in FY 2024-25 is estimated at approximately $180,000. As such, the information presented includes these changes. Additionally, on September 19, 2023, the City adopted a Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) between the City and the American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees District Council 36 (AFSCME DC36) for the part-time employees. The estimated fiscal impact in FY 2024-25 for this MOU is approximately $321,000, which is also included in the budget assumptions. The following are highlights from the preliminary personnel budget of approximately $11 million in General Fund for FY 2024-25: • Includes all existing and approved competitive, confidential, and management positions, and stipends for the City Council and Planning Commission. • 50% funding for the Associated Planner position aligned with the recruitment schedule. • $8.3 million or 57% of the personnel budget for approximately 74 full-time positions, with 12 positions currently vacant but expected to be filled by FY 2024- 25. The full-time positions account for an increase of almost $630,000 or 8% compared to FY 2023-24. This is mainly due to vacant positions being partially funded in the prior years based on the recruitment schedule. Staff anticipates FY 2024-25 reaching the highest number of employee vacant positions being filled particularly in the Public Works and Community Development Departments. • $1.8 million or 12% of personnel budget for approximately 68 part-time positions or 33 full-time equivalents. This category increased by approximately $0.3 million or 245 from the prior year’s budget. Approximately $1.4 million or 73% of this budget is allocated in the Recreation and Parks Department. The newly adopted AFSCME MOU has increased pay and benefits, which has helped the City to fill vacant positions. The Department’s current staffing levels have nearly returned to pre-pandemic levels, and park sites, special events and programs are close to fully staffed. In addition, the Ladera Linda Community Park opened in February 2024. The newly constructed park has resulted in an increase in staffing levels of 12 approximately $80,000 when compared to the pre-construction, prior year’s staffing model. The Ladera Linda Community Park staffing hours had traditionally been limited when compared to other park sites, with Staff departing at 5 p.m. regardless of the time of year. Knowing this would limit Staff’s ability to secure the park grounds effectively and appropriately, in August 2019, the City Council adopted new park hours that extended Ladera Linda hours of operation and required the Department to increase Staff’s presence and added security per the Conditions of Approval. Previously, the Ladera Linda Park was staffed by one part- time staff member per shift, while the new building increased staffing to two part- time staff members per shift. This is comparable to staffing levels at Hesse Park and PVIC. • $178,000 or 1% is allocated for overtime for all full-time and part-time positions. • $608,000 or 4% of accounts for COLA and merit increase for all full-time employees, including competitive positions, part-time positions, confidential positions, and management positions. Per the City’s Memorandum of Understanding with RPVEA, COLA is estimated at 3%, which is the maximum percentage based as measured by CPI-U reported by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics for the Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, California metropolitan area covering the prior twelve-month period March to March each year. The CPI-U for February is 3.4%, and the CPI-U for March will be released in mid-April. Additionally, the budget assumption for merit increase is estimated at an average of 4.5%. The merit increase is based on employee’s performance evaluation ranging from 1% to 6% per the City’s MOU with RPVEA. • $236,000 or 1% of personnel budget for new positions identified from the classification and compensation study: o Human Resources Specialist (part-time) o Information Technology Specialist (part-time) o Recreation Program Coordinator (full-time) • $216,300 or 1% of personnel budget for the Public Safety Program: o Public Safety Manager (part-time) o Public Safety Liaison (part-time) o (3) Public Safety Liaison (part-time – previously funded from Recreation and Parks) • In the past few years, several vacant positions have been frozen and underfilled and are excluded from the current budget. While most positions have now been filled, the following positions continue to remain frozen in the budget assumptions for FY 2024-25: • Executive Assistant in the City Manager’s Office • GIS Coordinator in the Community Development Department 13 • Accounting Supervisor in the Finance Department (underfilled by Senior Accountant) Management will continue to reassess the department’s needs in the coming fiscal year, and any changes will be reported to the City Council for approval during the annual budget workshops. As described above, Staff seeks the City Council affirmation on the salaries budget assumptions of $ 11,012,100 which include the estimated rates for all existing and approved competitive, confidential, and management positions, part-time positions, COLA, and merits. Staff also seeks affirmation to partially fund Associate Planner at 50% aligned with the recruitment schedule. Moreover, Staff seeks affirmation to continue to freeze the GIS Coordinator position (Community Development), continue to freeze the Executive Assistant (City Administration), and underfill Accounting Supervisor with Senior Accountant (Finance). Benefits The projected benefits for the FY 2024 -25 Proposed Budget amount are around $3.6 million, reflecting a decrease of approximately $0.1 million or 3% over the FY 2023-24 revised budget. Key budget assumptions for developing the benefits include: • $1.9 million or 13% of personnel budget allocated for health, dental, vision, worker’s compensation, Medicare, retirement health savings, and ancillary benefits. • $2.2 million earmarked for the CalPERS normal rate payment and the CalPERS Unfunded Accrued Liability (UAL) payment. This payment covers the City’s normal costs for current employees across Tiers 1, 2, and 3. The increase of $0.2 million or 9% over the previous year is driven by the City's unfunded liability for current and retired employees across all Tiers. • Per the City’s Pension Guideline, the Employee Pension Service (EPS) Fund will relieve the General Fund of UAL payments exceeding $900,000. Thus, $0.4 million will be funded from the EPS Fund to offset increases in the benefits category. Staff seeks the City Council’s affirmation on the budget assumptions $3,618,500 for benefits as defined above. Also, in accordance with the City Council -adopted Pension Guidelines, Staff seeks City Council affirmation with the utilization of the Employee Pension Service Fund to relieve the General Fund of not to exceed $0.4 million for the CalPERS annual payment of the unfunded liability in FY 202 4-25. Non-Personnel Costs The non-personnel category includes the Los Angeles County Sheriff contract, legal services, professional and technical services, repairs and maintenance, supplies, training 14 and conferences, utilities, and miscellaneous/other expenses. This category represents $20.6 million, or 52% of the proposed budget, after transfers out. As illustrated below, the FY 2024-25 proposed budget includes a decrease of $0.5 million or 3% over the FY 2023- 24 revised budget. Non-Personnel Costs FY 23-24 Revised Budget: $21,164,100 FY 23-24 Year-end Estimate: $20,233,400 FY 24-25 Proposed Budget: $20,579,550 FY 24-25 Net Change to FY 23-24 Revised Budget: -$584,550 or -3% Below are major highlights of the budget assumptions used to develop the non-personnel budget. The amounts listed and the percentage to budget per category are based on the proposed budget, after transfers-out. Public Safety Los Angeles Sheriff Department Contract: • Accounts for $8.1 million or 21% of the proposed budget. • Includes a contract increase of $0.4 million or 5% over FY 2023-24. • Current contract is in the process; therefore, Staff will update the City Council once more information becomes available. Special Programs • Special Programs for $158,000, including School Resource Officers for outreach and education at Peninsula schools, Neighborhood Public Safety Grant Program providing reimbursements to neighborhoods for the installation of safety - enhancing tools and technologies, administration for the parking citations program, and Everbridge emergency notification software. • Supplemental Program for $70,000 for funding for additional miscellaneous supplemental (overtime) patrol around the City by the Sheriff’s Department as needed or as requested, including crime suppression, specialized traffic patrols, and fireworks suppression. Public Safety Program (in-house) • Introduced in FY 2023-24, this program is anticipated to start before June 30, 2024. • Includes $124,400 of non-personnel expenditures including supplies, rents and leases, equipment, and training. • Includes $40,000 of one-time costs for a vehicle purchase. Legal Services • Accounts for $975,000 or 2% of the proposed budget. • Includes an estimated increase of $0.03 million or 3% over FY 2023-24. 15 • Includes general legal services, code enforcement, litigation, labor negotiation, and legal services related to public records act requests. Professional and Technical Services • Accounts for almost $4.7 million or 12% of the proposed budget. • The proposed budget is lower than the current budget by approximately $0.3 million or 6% due to one-time costs that were allocated in FY 2023-24 and no longer needed to budget the amounts in FY 2024-25. • The major items included in this category are as follows: i. $562,000 (City Administration) for services including managed IT, RPVtv, lobbying, business system support, software implementation, audio/video support services. ii. $1 million (Community Development) for services including building and safety plan checks, geological, animal control, view restoration, abatement, environmental planning, GIS, peafowl program, planning, and miscellaneous code enforcement related services. A portion of these expenditures are offset by revenues collected through permits. iii. $125,000 (Finance) for audit services, budget book automation, financial reports services. iv. $440,000 (Recreation and Parks) for special events and contract payments for recreation class instructors. A portion of these expenditures are offset by revenues collected from classes. v. $1.2 million (Public Works) for permits review, school traffic control for flagging, engineering, NPDES consulting, inspections, plan reviews. A portion of these expenditures are offset by revenues collected through permits. vi. $90,000 (Non-Department) for grant writing, emergency preparedness, and miscellaneous audit and financial services. • The following is a summary of projected one-time costs of $571,000. i. $166,000 (City Administration) for election costs for open City Council positions. ii. $155,000 (Community Development) for the State Mandated Safety Element Local Hazard. This is a state-mandated component of the General Plan. Per the State’s General Plan Guidelines, “The goal of the Safety Element is to reduce the potential short - and long-term risk of death, injuries, property damage, and economic and social dislocation resulting from fires, floods, droughts, earthquakes, landslides, climate change, and other hazards.” The Safety Element corresponds with the Local Hazard Mitigation Plan (LHMP) and are typically updated together. Per Senate Bill 1035 (2018), the Safety Element must be updated not less than once every 8 years. The last update was in 2018. In order to 16 accommodate the 8-year cycle and the time required to prepare the update, initiation of this update is planned for FY 2024-25. iii. $100,000 (Community Development) for the storefront improvement project (Western Avenue). This program corresponds to the proposed new City Council Quality of Life Goal for a Storefront Improvement Program on Western Avenue. This would be a pilot program for City Council to determine if they want to continue into future years. The intent of this economic development program is to assist businesses, including along the Western Avenue corridor, in improving their storefront facades to attract more business. This is proposed as a 50% matching grant for qualified businesses and property owners to complete storefront improvements. The expectation is that this program will trigger business attraction, retention, and expansion opportunities. Resulting economic improvement impacts to businesses which would result in additional sales tax revenue for the City. iv. $50,000 (Public Works) Regional Program Settlement Fees. The Regional Stormwater Program Settlement Fee is the City’s contribution to the five Settlement Offers that the City received for regional violations regarding stormwater quality standards at Machado Lake for the Nutrients and Toxics Total Maximum Daily Loads (TMDLs). Future contribution requirements are contingent upon the completion of stormwater related projects within the region. v. $90,000 (City Clerk, Community Development, Public Works Departments) for document digitization conversion. This is for the scanning of historical documents including landslide documents as well as (closed) attorney litigation files, department records and as-built drawings, and geology files. This project will enable staff to search for historical documents using our Laserfiche portal more efficiently, once all the documents are scanned. This project will also help with dealing with limited storage space as once scanned files are vetted and deemed as good as the original, the hardcopy files will be destroyed or archived based on retention requirements. This will help free up valuable storage space. vi. $60,000 (Non-Department) for emergency contingency as needed for the coming fiscal year. Repairs and Maintenance • Accounts for $3.4 million or 9% of the proposed budget. • The proposed budget decreased by approximately by $0.4 million or 9% from the prior year’s revised budget due to one-time costs that were allocated in FY 2023- 24 and no longer needed to budget the amounts in FY 2024 -25. 17 • The major items included in this category are as follows: i. $533,000 (City Administration) information technology services such as software licensing, systems for financials, human resources, permits, website hosting and support, GIS, and subscriptions. ii. $770,000 (Public Works) for landscape maintenance at City parks. iii. $685,000 (Public Works) for fuel modification (hand trimming) and fuel modification (fire grazers – goat grazing). iv. $530,000 (Public Works and Recreation and Parks Departments) for on- going building maintenance such as custodial services, building security, park and gate security, graffiti abatement, heating, ventilation, air conditioning, pest control, trail clearing of excess vegetation, painting, sign repairs, electrical, as needed. v. $295,000 (Public Works) for landscape maintenance at City trails and open spaces. vi. $150,000 (Public Works) for tree trimming for view restoration. vii. $100,000 (Non-Department) for an emergency contingency as needed for the coming fiscal year. Supplies, Utilities, Training, and Conference, Miscellaneous Expense The remaining non-personnel costs are supplies, training and conference, and miscellaneous expenses, which represent $3.5 million or 9% of the proposed budget. There is an increase of $0.1 million or 4% mainly due to required operational expenses and one-time costs. • Some of the major items under the miscellaneous category are: i. $705,000 for the City’s insurance premium payments for general liabilities, property damages, and pollution. ii. $239,000 for equipment replacement charges. These are charges to the departments based on an equipment replacement schedule. The accumulation of the charges is recorded in the City’s internal service fund for future use. This amount also includes $60,000 to be set aside for the ALPR cameras in the next five years. iii. $928,400 for utilities which includes gas, water, electricity. iv. $308,000 for training, conference, and meetings. v. $725,000 for small equipment, tools, supplies for technology, custodial, parks, recreation programs, administration, uniforms. • One-time costs for this category include: i. $44,000 is a combination of election supplies costs, emergency preparedness, and small equipment for parks. ii. $40,000 for a vehicle purchase for the new Public Safety Program. Staff seeks City Council affirmation for non-personnel budget assumptions of $20,579,550 for the annual operating expenditures described above including one -time expenditures and contingency budget for emergency repairs. 18 Transfers Out Transfers Out from General Fund are interfund transfers such as transfers to the CIP, and other funds to cover annual maintenance charges, maintain endowment requirements, and support operations, as described below. Transfer Out to CIP The transfer out of General Fund revenue to the CIP Fund has been a factor of the City’s public safety contract with the Los Angeles County Sheriff’s Department (LASD) since FY 2017-18. In FY 2017-18, with the goal to continue enhancing public safety services for the residents of Rancho Palos Verdes, the City Council approved reducing the TOT transfers to the CIP Fund by the cumulative annual increases in the public safety contract. As a result, ongoing increases to the public safety contract reduce transfers to CIP. For FY 2024-25, Staff estimates to receive approximately $6.4 million in TOT revenue from the Terranea Resort. Based on this estimate, the TOT transfer to the CIP Fund is approximately $3.9 million, or 10%, of the proposed budget. This reflects the net amount after applying the cumulative annual increases (since FY 2017-18) of almost $2.5 million in the public safety contract. Based on costs provided by the LASD, the estimated increase in FY 2024-25 is roughly $270,000, or 3%, over the FY 2023-24 revised budget. Table 3: FY 2024-25 Transfers Out to CIP It is important to note that upon completion of the annual financial audits, in accordance with the City Council Reserve Policy No. 41, in addition to the $889,500 recommendation for the Ladera Linda payment, Staff submits an additional recommendation to transfer a portion of the unallocated fund balance to the CIP Fund. This is intended to replenish the CIP fund from the public safety reductions made during the start of the budget process. In total, the City Council has approved approximately $4.2 million of transfers from General Fund to CIP Fund since FY 2020-21. FY 2024-25 TOT Estimates (Terranea)6,430,000$ Less Public Safety Increases: FY 2017-2018: (893,000) FY 2018-2019: (200,500) FY 2019-2020: (260,800) FY 2020-2021: (101,000) FY 2021-2022: (102,900) FY 2022-2023: (103,700) FY 2023-2024: (616,000) FY 2024-2025: (269,600) (2,547,500) FY 2024-25 Proposed Budget - Transfer to CIP (TOT) 3,882,500$ 19 Other Miscellaneous Transfers Out The transfers out for Sub-region One and the Improvement Authority are intended to cover annual maintenance charges and to maintain endowment requirements. Additional transfers out to the Habitat Restoration and Abalone Cove Sewer funds are also needed to maintain adequate required reserves and support operations. Since the estimated interest earnings within the funds are not enough to cover the costs incurred, the General Fund will need to transfer funds of $60,000 to subsidize Sub-region One, $15,000 to Improvement Authority for Portuguese Bend, $150,000 to Habitat Restoration, and $70,000 to Abalone Cove Sewer. Staff seeks City Council affirmation for transfers-out budget assumptions of $4,177,500 to the following funds: CIP, Habitat Restoration, Sub -region One, Improvement Authority for Portuguese Bend, and Abalone Cove Sewer. Overall, the proposed General Fund expenditure budget is almost $39.4, including transfers-out. This reflects an increase of $0.4 million or 1% from the FY 2023-24 revised budget or higher by $1.8 million or almost 5%, compared to current year-end estimates. This is illustrated in Table 4 below and the following Chart 4 shows the General Fund expenditures by department and their respective contribution in percentage (%) terms to the City’s overall total expenditures. Table 4: FY 2024-25 Proposed General Fund Expenditures – by Category CONTINUED NEXT PAGE Expenditure Category FY 2022-23 Actuals FY 2023-24 Revised Budget FY 2023-24 Year-End Estimates FY 2024-25 Proposed (Prelim) Variance to FY 2023-24 Revised Budget Salaries/Benefits 10,731,718 13,214,300 13,013,800 14,630,600 1,416,300 11% Sheriff Contract 7,060,240 7,872,000 7,742,750 8,141,600 269,600 3% Legal Services 935,777 950,000 950,000 975,000 25,000 3% Professional/Tech 3,300,998 4,969,438 4,675,300 4,620,500 (348,938) -7% Repairs/Maint 2,152,651 3,733,007 3,519,100 3,378,600 (354,407) -9% Supplies 571,496 696,312 671,100 725,000 28,688 4% Training/Conference/Meetings 183,810 302,443 230,970 308,200 5,757 2% Other Capital Outlay 1,344,548 61,000 7,000 66,000 5,000 8% Utilities 736,267 995,800 856,300 928,400 (67,400) -7% General Liabilities Premium 697,967 675,000 700,000 705,000 30,000 4% Equipment Replacement Charges 292,200 246,900 246,900 201,100 (45,800) -19% Misc 833,101 662,200 633,980 530,150 (132,050) -20% Subtotal $28,840,773 $34,378,400 $33,247,200 $35,210,150 $831,750 2% Transfers-Out 7,701,122 4,566,000 4,366,000 4,177,500 (388,500) -9% Grand Total $36,541,895 $38,944,400 $37,613,200 $39,387,650 $443,250 1% 20 Chart 4: FY 2024-25 Proposed General Fund Expenditures – by Department Staff will continue to monitor the local California economy and any material changes to the budget assumptions will be updated and reported to the City Council in future budget meetings and accordingly, the financial model will be updated and reported for review by the City Council in June. Recurring vs. One-time Revenues and Expenditures Pursuant to City Council Policy No. 45, Balanced Operating Budget, the City Council shall adopt a structurally balanced operating budget that will support financial sustainability for the City’s future. The annual budget for recurring expenditures shall not exceed recurring revenues and ongoing program expenditures are not funded with one -time revenue sources. By maintaining a structurally balanced budget, the City continues to maintain City reserves at their desired levels. The budget assumptions for FY 2024-25 include recurring revenues of $39.2 million and ongoing program expenditures of $34.7 million. Aside from the regulatory increases and general operating expenditures, $0.5 million of one-time expenditures has been added. After capturing the regulatory increases and new ongoing programs, the FY 202 4-25 Proposed Budget positively exceeds the requirement pursuant to the City Council Policy No. 45, Balanced Operating Budget. The City has a structurally balanced operating budget with a surplus of $4.5 million. After including one-time revenues and expenditures, the surplus is approximately $0.4 million. Overall, as shown in Table 5 below, after including all operating expenditures, one-time expenditures, and transfers, the General Fund is projected to end the year with a surplus of $0.1 million. 21 Recreation & Parks $4,707,400 Community Development $4,403,000 11% 12% Public Works $8,048,200 20% Public Safety $8,970,800 Transfers-Out $4,177,500 11% Finance $1,574,500 4% ... ' N n-Departame al $2,141,000 ' ... ' 5% ' ... ' ... .__ ____ _ City Administration $4,270,150 11% City Council $120,100 0% Legal Services $975,000 3% Table 5: FY 2023-24 Recurring vs. One-Time Revenues and Expenditures FY 2024-25 General Fund - Estimated Fund Balance Overall, based on the assumptions, Staff projects the fund balance for the General Fund on June 30, 2025, will be almost $34.6 million, net of transfers out. The fund balance is projected to increase by $1.5 million or almost 5% from the FY 2023-24 revised budget. After applying the City Council Reserve Policy of 50% of the operating budget, transfers- out of $889,500 for the Ladera Linda loan payment, and $400,000 for the pension fund, the estimated unallocated fund balance is $15.7 million, an increase of approximately $0.5 million or 3% from the revised budget. A calculation of the estimated FY 2024-25 Fund Balance is illustrated in Table 6. Table 6: FY 2024-25 General Fund – Fund Balance Summary CONTINUED NEXT PAGE General Fund Recurring One-Time Total Operating Revenues 39,193,700 30,000 39,223,700 Less: Operating Expenditures 34,666,150 544,000 35,210,150 Structural Surplus/(Deficit)4,527,550 (514,000) 4,013,550 Transfers-In - 250,000 250,000 Less: Transfers-Out 4,177,500 - 4,177,500 Surplus/(Deficit)350,050 (264,000) 86,050 General Fund FY 2023-24 Revised Budget FY 2023-24 Year-End Estimates FY 2024-25 Prelim Proposed Beginning Fund Balance 33,260,494 33,260,494 34,494,794 1,234,300 4% Add: Revenues 38,511,800 38,577,500 39,223,700 711,900 2% Add: Transfers-In 270,000 270,000 250,000 (20,000)-7% Total Revenues 38,781,800 38,847,500 39,473,700 691,900 2% Less: Expenditures (34,378,400) (33,247,200) (35,210,150) 831,750 2% Less: Transfers to CIP (TOT ) (4,421,000) (4,121,000) (3,882,500) (538,500)-12% Less: Other Transfers-Out (145,000) (245,000) (295,000) 150,000 -103% Total Expenditures (38,944,400) (37,613,200) (39,387,650) 443,250 1% Projected Ending Fund Balance 06/30/2025 33,097,894 34,494,794 34,580,844 1,482,950 4.5% City Council Restricted Fund Balance Less: Additional Transfers - CIP Ladera (PY Surplus) (889,500) (889,500) (889,500) - Less: Transfers to EPS Fund (PY Surplus) (291,300) (291,300) (400,000) 108,700 37% 50% Reserve Policy (16,756,750) (16,623,600) (17,605,075) 981,475 6% Projected Unallocated Fund Balance - 06/30/25 15,160,344 16,690,394 15,686,269 525,925 3.2% Increase/(Decrease) from FY 2023-24 Revised Budget 22 City Council Policy Reserve Policy No. 41 Pursuant to City Council Policy Reserve Policy No. 41, the City Council may allocate all or a percentage of the prior year’s General Fund unrestricted excess reserve of $15.7 million during the budget adoption process. This amount is the net of the 50% Reserve Policy of $17.6 million. As such, same as the prior years, Staff recommends transferring $889,500 to the CIP fund. This amount is equivalent to the anticipated annual interest expense payment for the Ladera Community Park Project. Staff seeks City Council affirmation on the transfer of $889,500 to the CIP Fund. On February 2, 2021, the City Council approved the CalPERS Pension Plan Guidelines which provides a financial plan to address the City’s outstanding pension liability and CalPERS’ continuous change in valuation methodology. Based on the City Council’s discretion, the goal is to transfer funds to the Employee Pension Service (EPS) Fund of at least 10% but no more than 25% of the annual General Fund unallocated fund balance (revenues minus expenditures, including transfers). As a result, the accumulated funds in the EPS Fund would then relieve the General Fund of payment more than $900,000 of the City’s UAL. Since the inception of the pension guidelines, the EPS Fund has an estimated fund balance of approximately $0.8 million ending FY 2022 -23. Based on the estimated year- end results of FY 2022-23, the City’s unallocated fund balance is $2.7 million. Therefore , Staff is proposing the same amount in prior years of $400,000 from the General Fund to EPS Fund in FY 2023-24. Staff seeks City Council affirmation on the transfer of $400,000 to the Employee Pension Service Fund in accordance with the adopted Pension Guidelines. The City Council may also allocate the remaining $1.4 million to fund, but not limited to: • Operating projects supporting the City Council Goals for FY 202 4-25 • Increasing the transfers to the CIP Fund ADDITIONAL INFORMATION: Financial Model The City’s Financial Model, overseen by the Finance Department, is a critical tool utilized in the annual budget process, aligning with City Council Policy No.18. This 10-year model integrates historical and current data with economic assumptions to forecast long -term revenues, expenditures, and fund balances. It serves as a foundation for decision - making, providing insights into the fiscal impact of various alternatives. 23 The model undergoes regular updates and enhancements, with a comprehensive overview presented each budget cycle in June using draft budget figures. Any improvements or analyses recommended by the City Council are incorporated. Preliminary assumptions, detailed in the table below, help guide forecasting for the FY 2024-25 Proposed Budget and beyond. Staff continually monitors key indicators, with material updates included in the financial model staff report presented in June. Table 7. Economic Model Input Factors The chart below provides a comparison between the 2024 and the preliminary 2025 model, before transfers. General Fund revenues and expenditures increased on average by approximately $0.9 million and $1.5 million, respectively. The annual percent change between models works out to an average of 2% for revenues and 4% for expenditures based on updated assumptions. New estimates rise slightly above the previous trend. Chart 5. 2024 Model vs 2025 Model Forecast Comparison (excluding transfers) FISCAL YEAR END 2024E 2025B 2026F 2027F 2028F 2029F 2030F 2031F 2032F 2033F REVENUES PROPERTY TAX 4.0% 4.2% 4.2% 4.3% 4.0% 4.0% 4.0% 4.0% TRANSIENT OCCUPANCY TAXES 0.5% 1.0% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% SALES TAX 1.5% 2.0% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% FRANCHISE TAX 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% UTILITY USERS TAX 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% PERMIT REVENUES 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% INVESTMENT INTEREST 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% EXPENDITURES CONSUMER PRICE INDEX 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% NON-PERSONNEL EXPENDITURES 4.0% 4.0% 4.0% 4.0% 4.0% 4.0% 4.0% 4.0% PERSONNEL EXPENDITURES 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% HEALTH INSURANCE 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% PERS NORMAL COSTS 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% SHERIFF CONTRACT 4.0% 4.0% 4.0% 4.0% 4.0% 4.0% 4.0% 4.0% FORECAST ASSUMPTIONS - 2025 FINANCIAL MODEL FY 2023-24 YE Est. and FY 2024-25 Budget prepared outside of model FY 2023-24 YE Est. and FY 2024-25 Budget prepared outside of model 24 60.0 50.0 40.0 "' 30.0 z 0 ::l ~ 20.0 10.0 0 .0 2024E 2025B 2026F 2027F 2028 F 2029F 2030F 2031F 2032F 2033F -2025 Model (Rev) 38.6 39.2 40.3 41.5 42.7 44.0 45.3 46.7 48.1 49.6 -2025 Model (E xp) 33.2 35.2 36.0 37.3 38.4 39.8 41.0 42.5 43.8 45.4 -~-2024 Model (Rev) 38.4 3 9.1 40.0 41.0 42.0 43.0 44.0 45.1 46.2 ---2024 Model (Exp) 33.5 33.6 34.8 36.0 37.2 38.5 39.8 41.2 42.7 The second pair of charts below focus on the preliminary 2025 model, providing a 10 - year outlook including transfers in and out of the General Fund. A comprehensive report and detailed overview of the latest financial model will be presented by staff in June. Chart 6. 2025 Model - General Fund 10-Year Forecast (Excluding Transfers) Chart 7. 2025 Model - General Fund 10-Year Forecast (Including Transfers) It should be noted that the transfers-out in FY 2024-25 and beyond do not include the additional transfers to the CIP Fund for the annual debt payment for the Ladera Linda Community Park or the EPS Fund, which has been done in the past. Generally, these transfers are not part of the annual operating transfers, instead, the transfers are based on the City Council’s approval using the prior year’s unallocated fund balance in accordance with the City Council Reserve Policy and the City’s Pension Guidelines. 25 50.0 45.0 40.0 35.0 30.0 25.0 20.0 15.0 10.0 2024E ~Revenues 38.6 -Expenditures 33.2 55.0 50.0 45.0 2025B 39.2 35.2 40.0 === tp V, 35.0 z 0 :3 ~ 30.0 25.0 20.0 15.0 10.0 2024[ 2025B ~Revenues 38.8 39.5 ~Expenditures 37.6 39.4 2026F 40.3 36.0 LV 2026F 40.6 40.0 2027F 41.5 37.3 II== 2027F 41.7 41.1 2028F 42.7 38.4 2028F 43.0 41.9 2029F 44.0 39.8 2029F 44.3 43.1 2030F 45.3 41.0 2030F 45.6 44.0 2031F 46.7 42.5 2031F 47.0 45.2 2032F 48.1 43.8 2032F 48.4 46.1 2033F 49.6 45.4 2033F 49.8 47.4 Finance Advisory Committee On April 4, 2024, Staff presented the FY 2024-25 General Fund budget assumptions and the fund balance summary. At this meeting, FAC received and accepted the report. CIP Workshop On April 29, 2024, the City Council will conduct its budget workshop on the Capital Improvement Program (CIP). At this workshop, staff will present the status of FY 202 3- 24 capital projects, propose new capital projects, and the five -year CIP for discussion. Any direction provided by the City Council will be incorporated in the Preliminary Budget to be presented on June 4, 2024. Portuguese Bend Landslide The City’s primary focus remains on the ongoing emergency within the greater Portuguese Bend Landslide Complex. On March 19, 2024, the City Council approved the plans for emergency work of approximately $8 million (engineer’s estimate) in the Portuguese Bend Landslide consisting of installing two emergency hydraugers with arrays and associated work and directed Staff to return with a construction contract for City Council consideration at its next meeting which will be April 16, 2024, meeting. The City Council also directed Staff to explore assisting the Abalone Cove Landslide Abatement District and the Klondike Canyon Landslide Abatement District with in -kind services and financial assistance of approximately $3 million in the form of a loan for landslide mitigation measures prepared by a licensed geotechnical engineering company and return to the next meeting for the City Council’s consideration. While Staff continues to explore other grant funding sources, the additional appropriations will be requested on April 16, 2024, to initiate the project immediately. Any potential grant sources received in the future will be allocated to replenish the CIP Fund. Public Notification The City posted on social media and issued a listserv message announcing tonight’s public workshop. To date, no public correspondence has been received. Any public correspondence received after the transmittal of this staff report will be provided to the City Council as late correspondence at the workshop. CONCLUSION: The anticipated FY 2024-25 General Fund revenues, with transfers, are projected to approach $39.5 million. This forecast indicates a $0.7 million, or 1.8%, increase over the FY 2023-24 revised budget and a $0.6 million, or 1.6%, increase over year-end estimates. Property tax remains the primary revenue source, making up 45% of proposed revenue, excluding transfers, while TOT retains its position as the second-largest revenue source, comprising 17% of the General Fund. The proposed budget recognizes industry-specific trends amidst ongoing economic uncertainty and maintains a conservative stance, with continuous monitoring expected throughout the budget cycle. 26 The proposed FY 2024-25 General Fund expenditure budget amounts to $39.4 million, including approximately $14.6 million of personnel expenses, $20.6 million of non- personnel expenses, and roughly $4.2 million of transfers-out, reflecting an increase of $0.4 million or 1% from the FY 2023 -24 revised budget or an increase of $1.8 million or almost 5%, compared to current year-end estimates. Lastly, based on the assumptions, Staff projects the General Fund's balance on June 30, 2025, to be around $34.6 million, net of transfers out, reflecting a $1.5 million or 4% increase from the FY 2023-24 revised budget. After applying the City Council Reserve Policy and necessary transfers-out, the estimated unrestricted excess reserve would be $15.7 million, up by approximately $0.5 million or 3% from the revised budget. 27