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CC SR 20180412 02 - Budget Workshop Draft RANCHO PALOS VERDES CITY COUNCILMEETING DATE: 04/12/2018 AGENDA REPORTAGENDA HEADING: Regular Business AGENDA DESCRIPTION: Consideration and possible action regarding the General Fund FY17-18 Year-End and FY18-19Preliminary Budget. RECOMMENDED COUNCIL ACTION: (1)Provide Staff direction to develop the FY18-19 Preliminary Budget. FISCAL IMPACT: None Amount Budgeted: N/A Additional Appropriation: N/A Account Number(s): N/A ORIGINATED BY: Trang Nguyen, Deputy Finance Director REVIEWED BY: Deborah Cullen, Director of Finance APPROVED BY: Doug Willmore, City Manager BACKGROUND AND DISCUSSION: Staff has updated the FY17-18 year-end projections for expenditures and revenues, with an emphasis on the General Fund. Additionally, this analysis assists in planning for resources and funding needed for FY18-19. In preparation of the FY18-19 Preliminary Budget, meetings were held between the Department Heads and the City Manager, Deputy City Manager and Director of Finance to discuss service or program changes to the zero-basedbudget.Based on the discussions from these meetings, Staff prepared this report and the related presentation for theBudget Workshop. General Fund Revenues — F17-18Updated Year-EndEstimates Currently, Staff is estimating that General Fund revenues will end the year slightly under the revisedbudgetby 0.06% or ($19,000), excluding transfers in.This is a positive change of almost $466,000from the year-end projections that were presented at mid- year, primarily due to a quicker-than-expected reimbursement of $150,000 for the storm damage repairs, an increase of $130,000 in license and permits revenue, and an increase of $180,000 miscellaneous revenues. The chart and table below outlines the year-end estimates for revenues compared to the revised budget by categories. 1 FY17-18 General Fund Major Revenue Types YE Estimates Compared to Revised Budget Graph 1 Table 1 FY 2017-18 FY 2017-18 Estimate vs. Revised Estimate Revised PROPERTY TAX$12,746,100$12,779,760$33,660 TOT6,040,0005,816,000(224,000) SALES TAX2,580,2002,560,700(19,500) LICENSE & PERMITS2,321,1002,265,952(55,148) FRANCHISE TAX2,112,8002,024,900(87,900) UUT1,871,1001,875,2444,144 OTHER/MISC REVENUES1,351,2001,573,110221,910 OTHER TAXES1,184,8001,292,476107,676 Subtotal30,207,30030,188,142(19,158) TRANSFER IN230,000230,000- Total Revenues$30,437,300$30,418,142$(19,158) Below is a summary of the major revenue categories: 2 Property Tax is currently 0.3% or $33,600 over the revised budget and an increase of 3.5% or almost $434,000 overlast year actuals. Property Taxes FY16-17 Actual Revenue:$12,345,821 FY17-18 Revised Budget: $12,746,100 FY17-18 Year-end Estimate:$12,779,760 Transient Occupancy Tax (TOT) is currently estimated to end the year underthe revised budgetby 3.7% or ($224,000), and an increaseofabout 3.8% or $215,000 over last year actuals. This year-end estimate is based on the latest industry information along with Staff’s analysis.Staff will continue to monitor TOT and will make any necessary adjustments after the thirdquarter. Transient Occupancy Tax FY16-17 Actual Revenue:$5,600,867 FY17-18 RevisedBudget: $6,040,000 FY17-18 Year-end Estimate: $5,816,000 Sales and Use Tax is estimated to end the year slightly under the revised budget by 0.8% or ($19,500), and an increase of approximately 4% or $98,300 over last year actuals. This year-end estimate is based on the latest information provided by the City’s consultant and industry trends. Sales and UseTax FY16-17 Actual Revenue:$2,462,447 FY17-18 RevisedBudget: $2,580,200 FY17-18 Year-end Estimate: $2,560,700 License and Permit category is currently estimated to end the year under revised budget by 2.38% or about ($55,000), and an increase of about 5.8% or $125,000 over last year actuals. This revenue source isdifficult to predict and can vary widely from year to year. Permits are driven by the weather, economy, trends in home improvement, lending rates, turnover rate of housing stock, and the availability of contractors. Licenses and Permits FY16-17 Actual Revenue: $2,140,505 FY17-18 RevisedBudget: $2,321,000 FY17-18 Year-end Estimate:$2,265,952 Franchise Tax is currentlytracking for a decrease of approximately4% or ($88,000) over the revised budget, and an increase of approximately 2% or $40,000 overlast year actuals. 3 FranchiseTaxes FY16-17 Actual Revenue: $1,984,787 FY17-18 Revised Budget: $2,112,800 FY17-18 Year-end Estimate: $2,024,900 Utility User Tax (UUT) is currently estimated to end the year 0.22% or $4,000 over the revised budget, and an increase of 5.6% or almost $100,000 over last year actuals. UUT is dependent on outside factors includingweather conditions, consumption of utilities, the price of natural gas, and rate increases, all of which cannot be predicted over thelongterm with certainty. Based on these factors, Staff uses historical data, information available pertaining to the price of natural gas. and the projected increases estimated by the Bureau of Labor Statistics for the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U). UUT FY16-17 Actual Revenue: $1,775,433 FY17-18 RevisedBudget: $1,871,100 FY17-18 Year-end Estimate: $1,875,244 Other/Miscellaneous Revenues consist of rentalsand leases, interest, donations and other miscellaneous revenues in the General Fund. This revenue stream is currently estimated to end the year over the revised budget by 16.4% or about $222,000, and approximately 6% or ($107,000) less compared to last year actuals. This revenue source isalso difficult to predict and can vary widely from year to year. The increase to budget this year is due to FEMA reimbursement to the General Fund for the work performed during the winter storm the City experienced last year. Other/Miscellaneous Revenues FY16-2017 Actual Revenue: $1,680,347 FY17-2018 RevisedBudget: $1,351,200 FY17-2018 Year-end Estimate: $1,573,110 Other Taxes consisted of Business License Tax and Golf Tax. This revenue is currently tracking for an increase of approximately9% or $107,600 over the revised budget, and an increase of 1.8% or approximately $23,000 overlast yearactuals. The increase from Business License Tax is due to the increase in gross receipts reported from businesses, not from arate increase or new businesses. OtherTaxes FY16-17 Actual Revenue:$1,269,366 FY17-18 Revised Budget: $1,184,800 FY17-18 Year-end Estimate: $1,292,476 4 General Fund Expenditures — FY17-18 Year-End Estimates Currently, Staff isestimating that General Fund expenditureswill end the year approximately0.5% or ($154,200) underthe revisedbudget, excluding transfers, and the details of this underrun are explained below. The chart and table below outlines the year-end estimates for expenditures compared to the revisedbudgetby categories. FY17-18 General Fund Expenditures YE Estimates Compared to RevisedBudget Graph 2 Table 2 FY 2017-18FY 2017-18Estimates RevisedEstimatesvs. Revised SALARIES$7,817,500$7,016,400$(801,100) BENEFITS2,599,2882,558,974(40,314) LEGAL925,0001,455,000530,000 SHERIFF6,135,2006,135,2000 SHERIFF-PRESERVE567,000567,0000 PROFESSIONAL/TECH5,041,1024,904,674(136,428) REPAIR/MAINT1,557,7001,909,200351,500 SUPPLIES2,230,1242,230,20783 OTHER/MISC569,900511,925(57,975) Operating Expenditures 27,442,81327,288,580(154,233) TRANSFER OUT4,813,5004,813,5000 Total General Fund Expenditures $32,256,313$32,102,080$(154,233) 5 As stated above, the General Fund operating expenditures are estimated to come in underbudget by approximately ($154,200), excluding transfers out.Below is the list of major variances between year-end estimates and budget. Salaries and Benefits are estimated to end the year 12% or ($840,000) under budget due to vacancies. This is a mixture of existing vacancies that have not been filled during the year and a few new vacancies due to internal promotions. Below is a list of current vacancies, the asterisks representvacancies due to internal promotionsthat occurred during thisfiscal year? 1.Two (2) Associate Planners* 2.Maintenance Supervisor 3.Two (2) Administrative Assistants 4.Two (2) Associate Engineers* 5.Deputy Director of Public Works 6.Maintenance Superintendent 7.Administrative Analyst II* Legal Services areestimated to end the year at 57% or $530,000 over budget. Based on information from the City Attorney, franchise cable, personnel issues and litigation are the primary drivers of this overrun.The City Attorney stated that part of the franchise cable fees are scheduled to be reimbursed by Crown Castleand those will get credited against this account. Staff will continue to monitor this category and will provide an update with the preliminary budget. Professional/Technical Services areprojectedto end the year approximately 2.7% or ($136,000)under budget. The savings are from professional contracts not needed in City Administrationand Public Works. Maintenance and Repair Services are estimated to end the year over budget by approximately 22.6% or $351,500.This increase is attributed to emergency activities, after-hour incidents, increase in water usage, increase in parks repair and maintenance, increase in stormwater maintenance activities, and an increase in traffic maintenance activities. Other/Miscellaneous is estimatedto end the year underbudget by approximately 21.5% or ($58,000). This is largely due to postponing training and meetings due to vacancies and increased workload. General Fund — FY17-18 Estimated Ending Fund Balance Below is an updated Unreserved/Undesignated General Fund balance or excess surplus at the end of FY17-18.This fund balance estimate is based on year-end projections and will be updated after the third-quarter reconciliation. Currently, the estimated excess unrestricted reserveis over $1.5million, which is net of the required 50% Policy Reserve. This is decrease of almost $280,000 from what was reported at 6 mid-year on March 6, 2018.This decreaseis due to an increase in year-end estimates for expenditures. FY17-18 General FundBalance Summary Table 3 FY 2017-18 AdditionalFY 2017-18 Year-end Adopted BudgetAppropriationRevised BudgetEstimates Beginning Fund Balance$16,852,403$-$16,852,403$16,852,403 Add: Revenues30,207,300-30,207,30030,188,142 Add: Transfers In230,000-230,000230,000 Subtotal47,289,703-47,289,70347,270,545 Less: Expenditures(25,604,300)(1,838,513)(27,442,813)(27,288,580) Less: Transfers Out to CIP(4,526,000)-(4,526,000)(4,526,000) Less: Transfers Out(287,500)-(287,500)(287,500) Subtotal(30,417,800)(1,838,513)(32,256,313)(32,102,080) Ending Fund Balance16,871,903-15,033,39015,168,465 Reserve Policy (50% of 12,802,150-13,721,40713,644,290 budgeted expenditures) Excess Unrestricted Reserve$4,069,753$-$1,311,983$1,524,175 General Fund — FY18-19 ProposedBudget For the FY18-19 proposedbudget,Staff has factored in several revenue and expenditure assumptionsto the modified zero-based budget as outlined below. FY18-19 Revenue Assumptions Staff is estimatingGeneral Fund revenues to increase by approximately 1.9% or $565,800compared to the FY17-18 revised budgetand 1.9% or $585,000to theyear- endestimated, excluding transfers in. The majority of the projected increase is driven by increases in estimated property taxes, miscellaneous revenuesand other taxes. Below are the projected amounts as compared to the FY17-18 year-end estimate. Property Tax is anticipated to increase 5.1% or $659,200 over the year-end estimate. Property Tax continues to be the largest and historically the most stable revenue source in the City, growing by inflation as set by the Consumer Price Index (CPI), andcapped at 2% in addition to the increased assessed values from sales and home remodeling. The additionalincrease is fromProp 8 parcels whose values were re-captured to pre- recession levels, and projected transfer of ownership in FY18-19. Prop 8 allows the property to be temporarily reassessed at the lower value during a decline in the housing market. However, as the value of the property rises, the assessed value and resulting property taxes may increase more than 2 percent peryear, up to the annually-adjusted 7 Prop 13 capof 2%. In the past 21 years, the lowest annual change in assessed property tax has been 1.24%, while the average annual change has been 5.30%. Property Taxes FY16-17 Actual Revenue:$12,345,821 FY17-18 Year-end Estimate:$12,779,760 FY18-19 Proposed Budget: $13,439,000 Transient Occupancy Tax (TOT) is currently estimated to increase by 0.1% or $7,100 over the year-end estimate. This revenue is forecasted based on the latest industry information along with Staff’s analysis.The revenue stream is a combination of lower- than-expected estimates from the smaller hotels and a roll-forward of last year’s estimate for the Terranea Resort. Transient Occupancy Tax FY16-17 Actual Revenue: $5,600,867 FY17-18 Year-end Estimate:$5,816,000 FY18-19Proposed Budget: $5,823,100 Sales and Use Tax is expected to remain relatively flat in FY18-19. According to the City's Sales Tax consultant,HdL, the lack of revenue growth is being driven by a decline in general consumer goods as more brick-and-mortar retailers continue to offer deep discounts to compete with online competition. Sales and UseTax FY16-17 Actual Revenue:$2,580,200 FY17-18 Year-end Estimate: $2,560,700 FY18-19Proposed Budget:$2,561,300 License and Permits as a revenue source can fluctuate from year to year, based on the economy.Staff uses historical trends and economic indicators to estimate this revenue stream. Currently, this category is expected toincrease by 1% or $24,300 over year-end estimates. Licenses and Permits FY16-17 Actual Revenue: $2,140,505 FY17-18 Year-end Estimate:$2,265,952 FY18-19 Proposed Budget: $2,290,300 Franchise Tax is expected remain the same as the year-end estimate. The City receives payments from franchisees for the use of municipal rights-of-way. The City receives a majority of this revenue stream from Southern California Edison and Southern California Gas Company. The main drivers for this revenue areconsumption 8 and the price of natural gas. Staff uses historical data and industry projections for this revenue estimate. FranchiseTaxes FY16-17 Actual Revenue:$1,984,787 FY17-18 Year-end Estimate: $2,024,900 FY18-19 Proposed Budget: $2,024,900 Utility User Tax (UUT) is projected to increaseby 2.5% or $46,400 overyear-end estimates. UUT is dependent on outside factors includingweather conditions, consumption of utilities, the price of natural gas, and rate increases, all of which cannot bepredicted over thelongterm with certainty. Based on these factors, Staff uses historical data, information available pertaining to the price of natural gas, and the projected increases estimated by the Bureau of Labor Statistics for the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U). UUT FY16-17 Actual Revenue: $1,775,433 FY17-18 Year-end Estimate: $1,875,244 FY18-19Proposed Budget: $1,921,600 Other/Miscellaneous Revenues consists of rentalsand leases, interest, donations and other miscellaneous revenues in the General Fund. This revenue source isalso difficult to predict and can vary widely from year to year. This revenue source is expected to decrease by 9.6% or ($150,600) from the year-end estimate to reflect the one-time reimbursement received from FEMA in FY17-18. Other/Miscellaneous Revenues FY16-17 Actual Revenue: $1,680,347 FY17-18 Year-end Estimate: $1,573,110 FY18-19 Proposed Budget: $1,422,500 Other Taxes consist of Business License Tax and Golf Tax, and is projected to decrease by 0.2% or $2,100 from the year-end estimate.Although Business License Tax grew in FY17-18 due to increasesin gross receipts, Staff is not anticipating any additional increase in gross receipts for the upcoming fiscal year. The decrease is due toGolf Tax. OtherTaxes FY16-17 Actual Revenue:$1,269,366 FY17-18 Year-end Estimate: $1,292,476 FY18-19 Proposed Budget: $1,290,400 9 The chart below has built in the revenue assumptions listed above andcompares the FY17-18 revised budget to FY17-18 year-endestimates and to the FY18-19 proposed budget estimates. FY18-19 Proposed General Fund Revenues Graph 3 Property Tax continues to be the largest and historically the most stable revenue source in the Cityand this revenue source makes up 44% ofthe total General Fund revenue. TOT is the next largest revenue source at19% of total revenues. Thepie chart below showsthe General Fund Revenues by type and their respective contribution in percentage (%) terms to the overall total.The OtherTaxes category consists of Business License Taxand Golf Tax. 10 FY18-19 Proposed General Fund Revenues Graph 4 FY18-19 General Fund Expenditure Assumptions Staff is estimating a decrease of approximately 0.1% or ($38,600) to the FY17-18 revised budget, and an increase of 0.4% or $115,700 from the year-end estimate, excluding transfers out. The proposed budget is showing a decrease to the revised budget due to the Purchase Orders carried forward and continuing appropriations from last fiscal year, whichtotaled $1.8 millionand are reported in the revised budget number. The following are assumptions used to prepare General Fund proposed expendituresin FY18-19: Personnel Costs Salaries: 1.COLA increase of 2% 2.An average merit increase of2.5% for RPVEA Association and Management/Confidential 3.Position reclassification—Public Works Department a.Changing Maintenance Supervisor to Permit Technician b.Changing Administrative Assistant to Staff Assistant 11 Benefits: 1.CalPERS Normal Costs Tier 1 – 10.609%, an increase of 0.5% Tier 2 – 7.634%, an increase of 0.4% Tier 3 – 6.842%, an increase of 0.3% 2.CalPERS Unfunded Liabilities Tier 1 – 25.219%, an increase of 12.6% Tier 2 – 0.044%, an increase of 0.02% Tier 3 – 0.056%, an increase of 0.3% 3.Health Benefits – 5% Non-Personnel Costs Sheriff’sContract: 1.2.57% increase in the cost of a Deputy Sheriff Service Unit 2.3.67% cost for Bonus I Deputy units from the FY17-18 rates. 3.10.5% contribution to the Liability Trust Fund that is administered by the County of Los Angeles Preserve-Sheriff: 1.2.57% increase in the cost of a Deputy Sheriff Service Unit 2.10.5% contribution to the Liability Trust Fund that is administered by the County of Los Angeles Supplies: 1. Decreased by 43% or ($962,000) from revised budget from one-time expenditures such as ALPRcameras, HOA security camera grants and vehicles purchased in FY17-18. Parks Improvement/Maintenance: 1.Playground equipment repair/maintenance increase of $65,700 2.Ball fields maintenance increase of $60,000 3.Eastview Dog Park maintenance increase of $20,000 The chart below hasbuilt in the expenditure assumptions listed above and compares the FY17-18 revised budget to FY17-18 year-end estimates and to the FY18-19 proposed budget. 12 FY18-19 Proposed General Fund Expenditures Graph 5 Transfers Out In FY17-18, the City Council directed Staff to reduce the TOT transfer out to the Capital Improvement Fund by the same amount as the increase in Public Safety. For FY18-19, Staff is estimatingTOT fromTerranea to be $5.6 million. Based on this estimate, the TOT transfer to Capital Improvement Fund will be scheduled as follows: Projected TOT Revenue from Terranea $5,613,000 Less FY17-18 Public Safety increase $(893,000) Less FY18-19 Public Safety increase $(200,500) Proposed TOT transfer to CIP $4,519,500 Other miscellaneous transfersincludes$20,000 tothe Improvement Authority Portuguese Bend and $25,000 to the Improvement Authority Abalone Cove. Below is an updated fund balance for the General Fund at the end of FY18-19, based on the current year-end estimates and assumptions.While the City still has revenues that support the core expenditures, the increases in the Sheriff’scontract, legal expenses, CalPERS unfunded liability, and General Liability Insurance are significantly reducing the excess reserve year over year. 13 Table 4 FY 18-19 Estimated Fund Balance Beginning Fund Balance @ 7/1/2018$ 15,168,465 Add: Proposed Revenues30,773,100 Add: Proposed Transfers In220,000 Subtotal 46,161,565 Less: Proposed Expenditures (27,404,237) Less: Proposed Transfers to CIP(4,519,700) Less: Proposed Misc.Transfers(45,000) Subtotal (31,968,937) Ending Fund Balance @ 6/30/201914,192,628 13,702,119 Reserve Policy (50% of budgeted expenditures) Excess Unrestricted Reserve$490,510 FY18-19 Capital Improvement Projects Below is a list of capital projects and proposed cost by funding type. This list was presentedand ranked by IMAC on March 8, 2018, and presented to Planning Commission on April 10, 2018. The projects were ranked by Staff and IMAC, and were given either a 1, 2 or 3. Projectswith a ranking of 1areconsidered a high-priority and a ranking of 3arelow-priority. More information about these projects will be presented at the Budget Workshop by the Public Works Department. Table 5 Capital Improvement Beautification Propropositio Proposition A Measure R Hesse Parking Lot Improvements and Lighting Project - Design100,000 Ladera Linda Community Center - Construction300,000 Lower Hesse Improvement Phase 2 - Construction900,000 Lower Hesse Improvement Phase 2 - Design100,000 Abalone Cove Sewer System Rate Study and Rehabilitation Program250,000 Citywide ADA Transition Plan290,000 Coastal Bluff Fence Replacement Program200,000 Pavement Management Program Biennial Update120,000 Residential Roadways Rehabilitation Program - Area 3 & 4 Design500,000 Residential Roadways Rehabilitation Program - Area 8 Construction3,500,000 Annual Portuguese Bend Landslide Area Resurfacing Program600,000 Silver Spur Rd. Transit Improvement Project - Phase 1 Design50,000 Silver Spur Rd. Transit Improvement Project - Phase 2 Construction450,000 Annual Sidewalk New/Replacement Program 250,000 TOTAL COSTS FOR #1 RANKED PROJECTS 6,260,000-600,000500,000250,000 Hawthorne Blvd. Beautification Project - Design200,000 Storm Drain Deficiency Improvement Program - Design * + 250,000 TOTAL COSTS FOR #2 RANKED PROJECT 250,000200,000--- Bubbles Restoration and Installation 75,000 TOTAL COSTS FOR #3 RANKED PROJECTS 75,000---- TOTAL FOR ALL PROJECTS 6,585,000200,000600,000500,000250,000 14 CONCLUSION: Currently, Staff is estimating that the General Fund will end FY17-18 with a surplus of over $1.5million, and is currently estimating about $0.5million surplus at the end of FY18-19.The FY18-19 General Fund Preliminary Budget will be prepared with the assumptions detailed in this report and any modifications or changes directed by the City Council.The Preliminary Budget, including all funds, will be presented at the regularly-schedule City Council meeting onMay 15, 2018. 15