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CC SR 20170410 01 - Budget WorkshopRANCHO PALOS VERDES CITY COUNCIL MEETING DATE: 04/10/2017 AGENDA REPORT AGENDA HEADING: Regular Business AGENDA DESCRIPTION: Consideration and possible action regarding the General Fund FY 16-17 Year-end projections and FY 17-18 Preliminary Budget. RECOMMENDED COUNCIL ACTION: (1) Provide Staff direction to develop the Fiscal Year 17-18 Preliminary Budget. FISCAL IMPACT: None Amount Budgeted: N/A Additional Appropriation: N/A Account Number(s): N/A ORIGINATED BY: Allan Kaufman, Senior Administrative Analyst , REVIEWED BY: Deborah Cullen, Director of Finance Ll APPROVED BY: Doug Willmore, City Manager BACKGROUND AND DISCUSSION: Staff has prepared FY 16-17 year-end projections for expenditures and revenues, with an emphasis on the General Fund. During the review of the year-end estimates, Staff identified areas above or below the budgeted amount. Additionally, this analysis will assist in planning for resources and funding needed for FY 17-18. In preparation of the FY 17-18 Preliminary Budget, meetings with City Department Heads were held with the City Manager, Deputy City Manager and Director of Finance to discuss service or program changes to the zero -based budget. Based on the discussions from these meetings, Staff prepared this report and related presentation for the Budget Workshop. General Fund Revenues—Fiscal Year 16-17 Year -End Estimates Currently, Staff is estimating that General Fund revenues will end the year 1.5% or $436,368 over the revised budget. Below is a summary of the major revenue categories: Property Tax is currently 1.5% or $149,521 over the revised budget and compared to the same period last year, property tax decreased 1.4% or $172,204 due to the "Triple Flip" coming to an end. The "Triple Flip" was a mechanism where the City was receiving an additional share of property tax in lieu of 25% of the City's sales tax apportionment. Property Taxes FY 2015-2016 Actual Revenue: $12,410,225 FY 2016-2017 Revised Budget: $12,088,500 FY 2016-2017 Year-end Estimate: $12,238,021 Transient Occupancy Tax (TOT) is currently estimated to end the year 2.5% or $136,146 over the revised budget. Compared to the same period last year, TOT increased by 8.4% or $434,159 due to higher than expected occupancy rate at Terranea. Since opening its doors nearly 8 years ago, Terranea has shown positive occupancy growth year -over -year during this period. This year-end estimate is based on the latest industry information along with Staff's analysis. Staff will continue to monitor TOT and will make any necessary adjustments after the third-quarter. Transient Occupancy Tax FY 2015-2016 Actual Revenue: $5,196,987 FY 2016-2017 Revised Budget: $5,495,000 FY 2016-2017 Year-end Estimate: $5,631,146 Utility User Tax (UUT) like Franchise Tax, is dependent on outside factors including: weather conditions, consumption of utilities, the price of natural gas and rate increases, all of which cannot be predicted over the long-term with certainty. Based on these factors, Staff utilizes very conservative estimates and historical data. Staff has assumed a 1.3% increase or $25,565 over the revised budget. Comparing to the same period last year, UUT increased 7.6% or $141,783 more than FY 15-16 actuals. UUT FY 2015-2016 Actual Revenue: $1,865,682 FY 2016-2017 Revised Budget: $1,981,900 FY 2016-2017 Year-end Estimate: $2,007,465 License and Permit revenues are difficult to predict and can vary widely from year to year. Permits are driven by the weather, economy, trends in home improvement, lending rates, turnover rate of housing stock and the availability of contractors. License and Permit revenues are projected to end the year approximately 3.9% or $87,100 over the revised budget. Comparing to the same period last year, licenses and permits decreased by 3.4% or $79,843. Licenses and Permits FY 2015-2016 Actual Revenue: $2,382,743 FY 2016-2017 Revised Budget: $2,215,800 FY 2016-2017 Year-end Estimate: $2,302,900 FY2017-18 General Fund Major Revenue Types YE Estimates Compared to Revised Budget 2 Graph 1 $14.0 c o $12.0 75 $10.0 $8.0 $6.0 $4.0 $2.0 $0.0 Estimated to end the year $436,400 over budget. Property Tax Sales Tax Transient Utility User Licenses and Other Occupancy Taxes Permits Revenue Tax IUIV FY 2016-17 & FY 2016-17 Revised Budget YE Estimates General Fund Expenditures—Fiscal Year 16-17 Year -End Estimates Currently, Staff is estimating that General Fund expenditures will end the year 3.6% or $934,480 under the revised budget, excluding transfers. The chart and table below outline year-end estimates for expenditures compared to the revised budget by department. FY2016-17 General Fund Expenditures Graph 2 YE Estimates Compared to Revised Budget V) $9.0 o $8.0 $7.0 $6.0 $5.0 $4.0 $3.0 $2.0 $1.0 $0.0 Salary & Wages Benefits Prof / Tech Legal Services Other 111111 FY 2016-17 Revised Budget 111111 FY 2016-17 Year -End Estimates FY 16-17 General Fund Expenditures Revised Budget vs. Year-end Estimates 3 Table 1 Department FY16-17 Revised Budget FY 2017 Year -End Estimate Variance City Council $126,500 $119,814 ($6,686) City Administration 5,894,252 5,578,262 (315,990) Public Safety 7,565,430 7,472,230 93,200 Public Works 4,933,514 4,766,247 (167,267) Community Development 3,166,125 2,887,992 (278,133) Recreation & Parks 2,380,200 2,275,896 104,304 Non -Department 2,118,350 2,149,450 31,100 Operating Expenditures 26,184,371 25,249,891 (934,480) Transfer Out 5,446,000 4,189,750 (1,256,250) Total $31,630,371 $29,439,641 ($2,190,730) The General Fund operating expenditures are estimated to come in under budget by $934,000 and transfers out will come in under budget by $1,256,000. Combined, the City is looking at a $2.2 million positive expenditure variance. Of the $934,000 in operating expenditure savings, salaries and benefits are estimated to make up $715,000 of this decrease due to seven City positions that were filled throughout the year or are currently vacant. Below is the list of these positions, the departments they reside in and their status: �G[• r, 111IMT =-.6 o Executive Assistant (vacant) o City Clerk (filled February 2017) • Public Safety o Administrative Analyst (filled January 2017) • Community Development o Deputy Director (filled April 2017) o Building Inspector I (filled March 2017) • Public Works o 2 Senior Engineers (underfilled) Additionally, services are expected to end the year under budget by $149,000 due to savings from professional technical services and maintenance services in various departments. In addition to the positive operating expenditure variance, earlier this fiscal year, the City Council approved several Proposition A exchange agreements with the Cities of Diamond Bar, Montebello, and Rolling Hills whereby the City received $1,675,000 in al Proposition A funds in exchange for $1,256,250 of General Fund money. The Proposition A money will be programmed to fund future capital projects as identified by the Public Works Department. As a result of this exchange, the adopted budget for General Fund transfer to the Capital Fund was reduced by $1.25 million. General Fund—Fiscal Year 16-17 Estimated Ending Fund Balance Below is the calculation for the estimated Unreserved/Undesignated General Fund balance or excess surplus at the end of FY 16-17. This fund balance estimate is based on year-end projections and will be undated after the third quarter reconciliation. Currently, the estimated surplus is $2.2 million, which is net of the required 50% Policy Reserve. FY 16-17 General Fund Balance Summary Less: 50% Policy Reserve V 16 Unreserved/Undesignated Fund Balance $2.2 I General Fund—Fiscal Year 17-18 Preliminary Budget For the 17-18 preliminary budget, Staff has factored in several revenue and expenditure assumptions to the modified zero -based budget as outlined below. FY 17-18 Revenue Assumptions Staff is expecting General Fund revenues to increase by 3% or $933,883 compared to the FY16-17 revised budget. The majority of the projected increase is driven by higher than expected property tax and TOT. Below is a snapshot of the major revenue categories, and their projected amounts as compared to the FY16-17 revised budget. • Property Tax-- increase of 5.4% or $657,500 • Sales and Use Tax-- increase of 0.9% or $19,800 • Transient Occupancy Tax-- increase of 4.7% $261,000 • Utility User Tax-- decrease of 5.6% or $110,800 • Licenses and Permits-- increase of 4.8% or $105,300 5 • Other Revenues — increase of 0.2% or $1,000 The chart below has built in the revenue assumptions listed above and compares the FY 16-17 revised budget to FY 16-17 year-end estimates and to the FY 17-18 preliminary budget estimates. Graph 3 $12.0 $10.0 $8.0 $6.0 $4.0 $2.0 $0.0 FY 17-18 Proposed General Fund Revenues FY 16-17 Year-end estimates $29.2 FY 17-18 Proposed Budget $29.5 Property Sales Tax TOT UUT Licenses and Other Tax Permits Revenue HIS FY 16-17 Revised Budget FY 16-17 YE Estimates 1111111111 FY 17-18 Proposed Property Tax is the largest and historically the most stable revenue source in the City. Through Proposition 13, increases in assessed value are limited to an annual inflation factor of no more than 2%. This revenue source makes up 43% of the total General Fund revenue in the City. TOT and Sales Tax make up 27% of total revenues. The pie chart below shows the General Revenues by type and their respective contribution in percentage (%) terms to the overall total. Included in the Other Taxes category are the Business License Tax, Franchise Tax, and Golf Tax. 0 FY 17-18 Proposed General Fund Revenues FY 17-18 Expenditure Assumptions Staff is estimating the following increases to General Fund expenditures in FY 17-18: • CalPERS increase of 4% or $104,200 • Health Benefits increase of 10% or $75,000 • The Sheriff's Contract is expected to increase slightly more than 14% or $775,407, as the positions added in FY15-16 shift from the growth rate (amount) to the regular rate, along with annual increases in the regular rates and liability trust fund. • Additional Equipment Replacement funding of over 39% or $183,200. This increase is based on an inventory count performed in FY16-17 of computers, equipment, furniture and vehicles, which identified pieces of equipment not accounted for in previous years. The chart below has built in the expenditure assumptions listed above and compares the FY 16-17 revised budget to FY 16-17 year-end estimates and to the FY 17-18 preliminary budget estimates. 7 Graph 5 $10.0 c 0 $8.0 $6.0 $4.0 $2.0 $0.0 Salaries & Wages Benefits Public Safety Non -Personnel FY 2016-17 Revised Budget FY 2016-17 YE Estimates 2017-18 Proposed FY 17-18 Proposed General Fund Expenditures CONCLUSION Currently, Staff is estimating that the General Fund will end FY 16-17 with an excess surplus of $2.2 million. The FY 17-18 General Fund budget will be prepared with the assumptions detailed in this report and direction from City Council. The Preliminary Budget will be presented on May 16tH 0 •