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CC SR 20160405 01 - Budget WorkshopRANCHO PALOS VERDES CITY COUNCIL MEETING DATE: 04/11/2016 AGENDA REPORT AGENDA HEADING: Regular Business AGENDA DESCRIPTION: Consideration and possible action regarding the General Fund FY 2015-2016 Year-end and FY 2016-2017 Preliminary Budget and the FY 2016-2017 Capital Improvement Budget. RECOMMENDED COUNCIL ACTION: (1) Provide Staff direction to develop the Fiscal Year 2016-2017 Preliminary Budget and Capital Improvement Budget. FISCAL IMPACT: None Amount Budgeted: N/A Additional Appropriation: N/A Account Number(s): N/A ORIGINATED BY: Trang Nguyen, Deputy Finance Director' REVIEWED BY: Deborah Cullen, Director of Finance APPROVED BY: Doug Willmore, City Manager fM�' BACKGROUND AND DISCUSSION: Staff has prepared FY 2015-2016 year-end projections for expenditures and revenues, with an emphasis on the General Fund. During the review of the year-end estimates Staff identified any areas above or below budget. Additionally, this analysis assists in planning for resources and funding needed for FY 2016-2017. In preparation of the FY 2016-2017 Preliminary Budget, meetings with City Department Heads are being held with the City Manager, Deputy City Manager and Director of Finance to discuss service or program changes to the baseline budget. During the Budget Workshop staff will be prepared to present for discussion the results of those meetings. Additionally, the Five -Year Capital Improvement Budget will be presented. 1 General Fund Revenues—Fiscal Year 2015-2016 Year -End Estimates Currently, Staff is estimating that General Fund revenues will end the year 1.20% or $334,764 over the adopted budget. Below is a summary of the major revenue categories: Property Tax is currently 1.80% under adopted budget or $211,887. Compared to the same period last year, property tax decreased 0.6% or $65,545 due to the current assessed values. Property Taxes FY 2014-2015 Actual Revenue: $11,609,213 FY 2015-2016 Adopted Budget: $11,755,555 FY 2015-2016 Year-end Estimate: $11,543,668 Transient Occupancy Tax (TOT) is currently estimated to end the year 2.5% or $124,582 over the adopted budget. Compared to the same period last year, TOT increased by 7% or $338,852 due to the uptick in revenue in rental occupancies at Terranea. The resort has been open almost 7 years, and the growth rate of TOT year - over -year has been positive every year. This year-end estimate is based on the latest industry information. Staff will continue to monitor and report any changes due to the economic conditions at year-end. Transient Occupancy Tax FY 2014-2015 Actual Revenue: $4,812,130 FY 2015-2016 Adopted Budget: $5,026,400 FY 2015-2016 Year-end Estimate: $5,150,982 Utility User Tax (UUT) like Franchise tax is dependent on outside factors such as weather conditions, the price of natural gas and rate increases, which cannot be predicted over the long-term with any accuracy. Historically, Staff has assumed that UUT will increase by the CPI for urban consumers, as projected by the Congressional Budget Office. However, with the exception of water-based revenue, Staff has estimated that UUT will remain relatively unchanged as rates are expected to remain flat. Staff has assumed a 4.2% increase or $78,012 over the adopted budget. Comparing to the same period last year, UUT decreased 1.7% or $32,659 less than FY 2014-15 actuals. UUT FY 2014-2015 Actual Revenue: $1,972,671 FY 2015-2016 Adopted Budget: $1,862,000 FY 2015-2016 Year-end Estimate: $1,940,012 2 License and Permit revenues are difficult to predict and can vary widely from year to year. Permits are driven by the weather, economy, trends in home improvement, lending rates, turnover rate of housing stock and the availability of contractors. License and Permit revenues are projected to end the year approximately 11.7% or $252,658 over budget. Comparing to the same period last year, Licenses and Permits decreased by 4% or $101,016 less. Licenses and Permits FY 2014-2015 Actual Revenue: $2,513,774 FY 2015-2016 Adopted Budget: $2,160,100 FY 2015-2016 Yearend Estimate: $2,412,758 FY2015-16 General Fund Major Revenue Types Graph 1 YE Estimates Compared to Adopted Budget 12.0 Estimated to end the year $335,000 over budget 0 10.0 8.o • 4.0 2.0 0.0 Property Sales Tax TOT UUT Licenses Tax and Permits ■ FY15-16 Adopted Budget ■ FY15-16 YE Estimates 3 General Fund Expenditures—Fiscal Year 2015-2016 Year -End Estimates Currently, Staff is estimating that General Fund expenditures will end the year 1.8% or $382,000 under the adopted budget. The chart and table below outline year-end estimates for expenditures compared to the adopted budget by department. FY2015-16 General Fund Expenditures Graph 2 YE Estimates Compared to Adopted Budget Estimatea to end the year $382,000 under budget 8.0 6.0 4.0 2.0 ' Salaries Benefits Prof/Tech Law Other Enforcement 2015-16 Adopted Budget 2015-16 YE Estimates FY2015-16 General Fund Expenditures Table 7 Adopted Budget vs. Year-end Estimates The savings from City Administration is due primarily to salary savings and Tier 1 pension benefit savings. Savings in City Attorney and Public Safety Departments are due to contract changes and savings in Public Works is due to programs that have not been fully implemented. The increases in Community Development and Recreation and ki FY 2016 ADOPTED FY 2016 YEAR-END DEPARTMENT BUDGET ESTIMATE VARIANCE CITY ADMINISTRATION $5,392,375 $5,310,246 ($82,129) CITY ATTORNEY 1,030,000 760,000 ($270,000) PUBLIC SAFETY 5,279,500 5,220,700 ($58,800) COMMUNITY DEVELOPMENT 2,685,779 2,766,343 $80,564 PUBLIC WORKS 4,554,063 4,151,281 ($402,782) RECREATION & PARKS 1,995,031 2,119,620 $124,589 NON -DEPARTMENTAL 226,067 $226,067 TOTAL $20,936,748 $20,554,257 ($382,491) The savings from City Administration is due primarily to salary savings and Tier 1 pension benefit savings. Savings in City Attorney and Public Safety Departments are due to contract changes and savings in Public Works is due to programs that have not been fully implemented. The increases in Community Development and Recreation and ki Parks were for new programs implemented during FY 2015-16. Expenditures in Non - department was for UUT refunds and vacation payout for retirement or employee separation. General Fund—Fiscal Year 2015-2016 Estimated Ending Fund Balance Below is the calculation for the estimated Unreserved/Undesignated General Fund Balance or excess surplus at the end of FY 2015-16. The estimated excess surplus is $1.8 million, an increase of $1.1 million from the mid -year projection. This is net of the required 50% Policy Reserve. FY2015-16 General Fund Balance Summary Table 2 (in millions) Beginning Fund Balance $15.1 Add: Revenues & Transfers In 28.4 Subtotal 43.5 Less: Expenditures, Transfers Out, Restricted amounts -28.7 Less: Prior Year Favorable Expenditure Variance (Transferred to CIP) -2.2 Estimated Ending Balance @ 6/30/2016 12.6 Less: 50% Policy Reserve -10.8 Unreserved/Undesignated Fund Balance 1.8 General Fund—Fiscal Year 2016-2017 Preliminary Budget For the 2016-2017 preliminary budget, Staff has factored in several revenue and expenditure assumptions to the modified zero -based budget as outlined below. FY 2016-2017 Revenue Assumptions Staff is expecting the following increases to General Fund revenues in FY2016-2017 as compared to the FY 2015-2016 Adopted Budget: • Property Tax-- increase of 0.41 % or $48,200 • Sales and Use Tax-- increase of 2.60% or $53,800 • Transient Occupancy Tax-- increase of 9.32% $468,600 • Utility User Tax-- increase of 6.44% or $119,900 • Licenses and Permits-- increase of 2.40% or $54,500 • Overall, General Fund revenues will increase 2.2% or $619,600 �� The chart below has built in the revenue assumptions listed above and compares the FY2015-2016 adopted budget to FY2015-2016 year estimates and to the FY2016-2017 preliminary budget estimates. FY 2016-2017 Proposed General Fund Revenues Graph 3 14.0 12.0 � 10.0 g.0 6.o 4.0 2.0 0.0 FY 15-16 Adopted Budget $27.9 Property Sales Tax TOT UUT Licenses Other Tax and revenue Permits ■ FY15-16 Adopted Budget ■ FY15-16 YE Estimates FY16-17 Budget on This pie chart breaks -down the General Revenues by type and their respective contribution in percentage (%) terms to the overall total. Included in the Other Taxes category is Business License Tax, Sales and Use Tax, Franchise Tax, Golf Tax and Utility Users Tax. Graph 4 FY 2016-2017 Proposed General Fund Revenues Other Taxes Charges for 27 Services Property Tax 1% 41% 0_'."_41VWLWW Transient Occupancy Tax 19% Other Revenue / Rents & Leases 4% Licenses FY 2016-2017 Expenditure Assumptions Staff is estimating the following increases to General Fund expenditures in FY 2016- 2017: • CalPERS Pension Rate increase of 10.83% or $87,000 • 2% COLA increase of $114,300 • Average 2% Merit increase of $72,600 • Health Benefits increase of 6% or $45,000 • Non -Personnel increase of 4.79% or $594,200 • Law Enforcement increase of 17.8% or $940,500 7